Atlético Madrid at Villarreal

Updated 985 days ago

08:00 PM • Jan 9, 2022

Atlético Madrid

47.8%24.6%27.6%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win

1.64Projected Goals 0.95

2Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
W 0-2	1/02 vs Rayo Vallecano	-230
L 1-2	12/22 at Granada	-195
L 1-2	12/18 at Sevilla	+170
L 0-2	12/12 at Real Madrid	+315
W 4-1	11/28 at Cadiz	-220

Villarreal		Money Line
W 0-5	1/03 vs Levante	-270
W 2-5	12/21 vs Alavés	-260
W 3-1	12/18 at Real Sociedad	+250
W 0-2	12/12 vs Rayo Vallecano	-145
L 0-1	12/04 at Sevilla	+315

Money Line Analysis

:2.5%:4.2%

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+155	-	+195	+200	+188	+200	+200	+207.9
Villarreal	+185	-	+155	+160	+147	+160	+160	+167.0
Draw	+210	-	+215	+215	+225	+215	+225	+232.5

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+160	-	-	-	+140	+195	+195	+207.9
Villarreal	+170	-	-	-	+150	+155	+155	+167.0
Draw	+235	-	-	-	+220	+215	+220	+232.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +201 to +18801/09/2022
07:56 PM

Villarreal ML moved from +156 to +14701/09/2022
07:56 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +205 to +19501/09/2022
07:36 PM

Villarreal ML moved from +175 to +14501/09/2022
06:47 PM

Over/Under Analysis

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	o2¼-125	o2½+105	-	o2½+105		o2¼-111
Under		-	u2¼+105	u2½-125	-	u2½-125		u2¼+111

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		o2½+115	-	-	o2½+105	o2½+120		o2¼-111
Under		u2½-135	-	-	u2½-135	u2½-140		u2¼+111

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	49.3%


No	50.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.53%
Exactly 2	25.18%
Exactly 4	14.04%
Exactly 6	3.13%
Exactly 8	0.37%


Exactly 1	19.48%
Exactly 3	21.71%
Exactly 5	7.26%
Exactly 7	1.16%
Exactly 9	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	19.41%
Exactly 1	31.82%
Exactly 2	26.08%
Exactly 3	14.25%
Exactly 4	5.84%
Exactly 5	1.91%
Exactly 6	0.52%
Exactly 7	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 0	38.80%
Exactly 1	36.73%
Exactly 2	17.39%
Exactly 3	5.49%
Exactly 4	1.30%
Exactly 5	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.20%
Exactly 2	21.65%
Exactly 4	2.59%
Exactly 6	0.12%


Exactly 1	36.16%
Exactly 3	8.64%
Exactly 5	0.62%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	46.81%
Exactly 1	35.53%
Exactly 2	13.48%
Exactly 3	3.41%
Exactly 4	0.65%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 0	64.51%
Exactly 1	28.28%
Exactly 2	6.20%
Exactly 3	0.91%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	28.84%
Wins by 3+ goals	12.36%
Wins by 4+ goals	4.32%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.25%

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals	7.42%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.92%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Villarreal

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	24.75%
Wins by 2 goals	16.48%
Wins by 3 goals	8.04%
Wins by 4 goals	3.07%
Wins by 5 goals	0.96%

Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal	14.29%
Wins by 2 goals	5.50%
Wins by 3 goals	1.54%
Wins by 4 goals	0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.47%	7.53%
1.5	72.99%	27.01%
2.5	47.81%	52.19%
3.5	26.10%	73.90%
4.5	12.06%	87.94%
5.5	4.80%	95.20%
6.5	1.67%	98.33%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	80.59%	19.41%
1.5	48.77%	51.23%
2.5	22.68%	77.32%
3.5	8.43%	91.57%
4.5	2.59%	97.41%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.20%	38.80%
1.5	24.47%	75.53%
2.5	7.08%	92.92%
3.5	1.59%	98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.80%	30.20%
1.5	33.64%	66.36%
2.5	11.99%	88.01%
3.5	3.35%	96.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Villarreal

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.53%	7.13%	3.38%	1.07%	0.25%
1	12.35%	11.69%	5.53%	1.75%	0.41%
2	10.12%	9.58%	4.54%	1.43%	0.34%
3	5.53%	5.24%	2.48%	0.78%	0.19%
4	2.27%	2.15%	1.02%	0.32%	0.08%
5	0.74%	0.70%	0.33%	0.11%	0.02%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	12.35%
2-0	10.12%
2-1	9.58%
3-0	5.53%
3-1	5.24%
3-2	2.48%
4-0	2.27%
4-1	2.15%
4-2	1.02%
4-3	0.32%
5-0	0.74%
5-1	0.70%
5-2	0.33%
5-3	0.11%

Draw
0-0	7.53%
1-1	11.69%
2-2	4.54%
3-3	0.78%

Villarreal
0-1	7.13%
0-2	3.38%
1-2	5.53%
0-3	1.07%
1-3	1.75%
2-3	1.43%
0-4	0.25%
1-4	0.41%
2-4	0.34%
3-4	0.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Villarreal

Score	0	1	2	3
0	30.20%	13.24%	2.90%	0.42%
1	22.92%	10.05%	2.20%	0.32%
2	8.70%	3.81%	0.84%	0.12%
3	2.20%	0.96%	0.21%	0.03%
4	0.42%	0.18%	0.04%	0.01%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	22.92%
2-0	8.70%
2-1	3.81%
3-0	2.20%
3-1	0.96%
3-2	0.21%
4-0	0.42%
4-1	0.18%

Draw
0-0	30.20%
1-1	10.05%
2-2	0.84%

Villarreal
0-1	13.24%
0-2	2.90%
1-2	2.20%
0-3	0.42%
1-3	0.32%
2-3	0.12%

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