Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 24, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Valencia
Osasuna 		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+224
+144
+215
+140
1.23
1.15		2.38
o2¼+106
u2¼-122
o2-125
u2+120
Espanyol
Real Sociedad 		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+409
-124
+390
-120
0.78
2.04		2.82
o2¼+104
u2¼-122
o2-135
u2+120
Games for Aug 23, 2025
Games for Aug 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valladolid
Getafe		23.7%
48.4%		27.8%
+242
+146
+240
+130
3
2		-1.25089-1.27397-1.44003
Villarreal
Cadiz		62.3%
16.0%		21.7%
-131
+424
-140
+430
0
0		-1.35000-1.34977-1.52836
Almería
Athletic Club		24.3%
49.6%		26.1%
+844
-257
+750
-265
0
4		-0.35221-0.37086-0.70136
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid		29.4%
41.8%		28.8%
+149
+225
+140
+210
2
1		-0.92452-0.92591-1.22516
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+454
-135
+440
-150
1
2		-0.56891-0.56138-0.40294
Sevilla
Villarreal		40.0%
32.4%		27.6%
+407
-125
+400
-135
1
1		-1.33112-1.34205-1.28627
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+565
-139
+480
-140
2
0		-1.91617-1.81070-1.08631
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		19.2%
57.0%		23.8%
+548
-154
+530
-175
2
3		-0.51345-0.50221-0.56250
Celta Vigo
Valencia		24.7%
50.0%		25.2%
+259
+141
+230
+130
0
3		-0.89970-0.88201-0.69241
Elche
Barcelona		5.0%
83.6%		11.4%
+3623
-1231
+2500
-1300
0
3		-0.10865-0.12324-0.17955
Cadiz
Valladolid		28.4%
42.2%		29.3%
+324
+108
+310
+100
1
0		-1.45526-1.46132-1.25839
Osasuna
Almería		35.1%
36.6%		28.3%
+165
+200
+155
+200
1
0		-0.99371-0.98305-1.04660
Villarreal
Betis		52.1%
24.3%		23.5%
+147
+207
+140
+190
0
1		-1.14194-1.11480-1.41387
Real Sociedad
Getafe		48.0%
25.0%		26.9%
+108
+342
+105
+315
1
2		-1.50643-1.47320-1.38470
Athletic Club
Elche		48.8%
24.3%		26.9%
-119
+390
-125
+360
4
1		-0.63042-0.63726-0.71719
Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid		7.6%
76.6%		15.8%
+440
-120
+425
-115
1
4		-0.61530-0.64082-0.26694
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.05235 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.03221 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.16550
-0.11315
-0.13329

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.