Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1385
-460
+1375
-515
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3¼+102
u3¼-122
o3-115
u3+105
Games for Sep 24, 2024
Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		25.2%
52.8%		22.0%
+280
+105
+270
+105
1
1		-0.74002-0.73611-0.76009
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		47.4%
27.4%		25.2%
+151
+230
+140
+245
2
0		-0.56565-0.52807-0.45586
Elche
Granada		24.3%
53.5%		22.2%
+336
-104
+335
+100
1
2		-0.37150-0.37829-0.37389
Betis
Cadiz		41.2%
31.4%		27.4%
-109
+325
-105
+310
1
0		-0.37235-0.38946-0.56680
Valladolid
Celta Vigo		30.8%
41.6%		27.6%
+340
-111
+360
-130
1
1		-0.77874-0.80318-0.70450
Valencia
Getafe		34.6%
35.5%		29.8%
+265
+135
+240
+140
0
3		-0.49704-0.53408-0.68072
Osasuna
Alavés		38.7%
32.9%		28.4%
+192
+181
+180
+185
1
0		-0.71251-0.68435-0.61589
Barcelona
Sevilla		42.7%
30.6%		26.8%
+125
+235
+120
+225
2
0		-0.51381-0.51696-0.54003
Huesca
Eibar		29.3%
43.4%		27.3%
+240
+142
+255
+120
1
1		-0.70753-0.72150-0.71243
Athletic Club
Levante		34.1%
38.2%		27.7%
+110
+275
+110
+280
1
1		-0.73459-0.73648-0.69474

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.