Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
73.2%		16.0%
+770
-210
+775
-230
0
2		-0.41674-0.40919-0.31193
Real Madrid
Getafe		57.7%
20.3%		22.0%
-175
+580
-185
+555
0
1		-1.93822-1.92703-1.59263
Espanyol
Valencia		26.3%
49.6%		24.1%
+375
-123
+365
-130
2
1		-1.58309-1.58621-1.33572
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		55.9%
22.3%		21.8%
+125
+260
+120
+230
2
1		-0.80341-0.83884-0.58196
Atlético Madrid
Granada		57.4%
20.9%		21.7%
-180
+585
-195
+560
1
2		-1.94806-1.93378-1.56384
Barcelona
Sevilla		43.4%
31.1%		25.5%
+230
+140
+205
+145
1
1		-1.21642-1.21053-1.36700
Alavés
Villarreal		19.5%
61.4%		19.1%
+775
-255
+750
-260
2
5		-0.36294-0.37459-0.48779
Valencia
Levante		35.5%
39.7%		24.8%
+145
+208
+140
+205
4
3		-0.92271-0.92193-1.03629
Cadiz
Real Madrid		11.6%
72.4%		16.0%
+2500
-800
+2200
-850
0
0		-2.39844-2.24545-1.83465
Osasuna
Getafe		32.1%
41.0%		26.9%
+280
+130
+280
+130
0
1		-0.86917-0.87479-0.89089
Betis
Athletic Club		31.3%
44.0%		24.7%
+245
+120
+240
+120
2
3		-0.81812-0.82624-0.82103
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla		40.6%
31.5%		28.0%
+180
+200
+170
+200
1
2		-1.13333-1.14602-1.15658
Elche
Barcelona		10.1%
76.6%		13.4%
+950
-320
+975
-330
2
3		-0.30703-0.31438-0.26715
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		34.7%
40.7%		24.6%
+250
+125
+250
+120
3
1		-1.28103-1.29960-1.05875
Alavés
Rayo Vallecano		35.1%
38.1%		26.9%
+490
-140
+460
-145
0
2		-0.56544-0.57531-0.96530
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		31.2%
42.4%		26.3%
+330
+100
+305
+100
1
3		-0.71125-0.74188-0.85698
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.60276 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.59121 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.54806
0.05470
0.04315

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.