Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Getafe
Granada		31.6%
41.9%		26.4%
+295
+130
+280
+135
1
1		-1.10836-1.08610-1.33044
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		50.7%
26.3%		23.0%
+160
+197
+165
+175
2
0		-0.98409-1.01763-0.67919
Osasuna
Real Madrid		16.0%
67.4%		16.6%
+1011
-335
+900
-360
0
0		-1.83891-1.83979-1.79511
Valencia
Betis		38.4%
36.9%		24.7%
+325
-110
+330
-120
1
4		-0.67917-0.65682-0.99753
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		72.0%
13.3%		14.7%
-115
+335
-120
+325
0
1		-1.49973-1.49669-2.02004
Cadiz
Villarreal		18.3%
62.5%		19.2%
+1173
-350
+1125
-350
3
3		-1.79330-1.77473-1.65094
Athletic Club
Espanyol		42.7%
30.6%		26.7%
+165
+190
+165
+195
1
1		-1.19726-1.14709-1.32058
Elche
Alavés		31.8%
41.0%		27.1%
+310
+125
+270
+125
0
1		-0.83239-0.86325-0.89131
Celta Vigo
Getafe		30.2%
43.0%		26.8%
+198
+185
+200
+170
3
0		-1.11703-1.14602-1.19703
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid		23.2%
53.6%		23.1%
+515
-150
+475
-150
2
2		-1.37018-1.33131-1.46343
Rayo Vallecano
Betis		28.0%
48.9%		23.2%
+395
-135
+400
-145
2
3		-0.58044-0.57164-0.71619
Real Madrid
Barcelona		31.5%
43.7%		24.7%
+165
+155
+165
+150
2
1		-1.01011-1.02460-1.15429
Levante
Sevilla		22.1%
57.0%		20.9%
+650
-200
+660
-210
3
5		-0.43750-0.43821-0.56212
Villarreal
Athletic Club		43.4%
31.7%		24.9%
+220
+145
+200
+150
1
2		-0.92685-0.96582-1.14958
Espanyol
Elche		36.1%
36.2%		27.7%
+210
+165
+210
+160
2
2		-1.13585-1.11544-1.28338
Alavés
Cadiz		34.6%
37.2%		28.2%
+240
+155
+220
+150
2
0		-1.24873-1.21335-1.06010
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.60276 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.59121 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.54806
0.05470
0.04315

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.