Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		24.6%
52.0%		23.4%
+430
-125
+400
-130
2
1		-1.69723-1.65910-1.40234
Celta Vigo
Levante		29.8%
46.3%		23.9%
+140
+210
+140
+200
2
0		-0.90996-0.92284-1.21147
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		57.9%
18.5%		23.5%
-160
+635
-155
+600
2
1		-0.51810-0.54588-0.54576
Granada
Barcelona		16.7%
67.0%		16.2%
+1000
-325
+925
-350
1
1		-1.80679-1.79727-1.81936
Real Madrid
Valencia		56.6%
22.6%		20.8%
-130
+365
-125
+360
2
1		-0.59736-0.61672-0.56987
Espanyol
Betis		29.5%
46.0%		24.5%
+390
-115
+375
-120
2
2		-1.27715-1.29361-1.40458
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		39.4%
34.5%		26.1%
+230
+142
+225
+140
0
0		-1.20234-1.18836-1.34189
Osasuna
Alavés		39.8%
33.9%		26.3%
+141
+245
+140
+240
2
0		-0.91178-0.92958-0.92118
Levante
Elche		46.0%
29.4%		24.6%
+250
+145
+240
+140
1
1		-1.12544-1.13041-1.40275
Athletic Club
Atlético Madrid		16.8%
62.6%		20.6%
+550
-145
+550
-155
0
0		-1.31420-1.31965-1.57901
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		42.3%
30.6%		27.1%
+249
+155
+225
+155
0
3		-0.95360-0.98556-1.18319
Cadiz
Celta Vigo		29.0%
44.7%		26.3%
+710
-220
+700
-240
2
1		-2.11976-2.13116-1.23822
Betis
Granada		31.6%
44.7%		23.8%
+145
+225
+130
+225
2
1		-0.91479-0.88187-1.15322
Elche
Getafe		25.2%
48.8%		26.0%
+475
-125
+475
-130
1
0		-1.78570-1.79957-1.37726
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid		23.2%
54.3%		22.4%
+520
-142
+475
-145
2
2		-1.32652-1.30295-1.49419
Osasuna
Cadiz		41.0%
32.2%		26.8%
+141
+260
+130
+265
3
2		-0.90426-0.88511-0.89133
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.60276 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.59121 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.54806
0.05470
0.04315

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.