Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid		23.4%
54.1%		22.6%
+519
-155
+475
-150
1
2		-0.52787-0.56122-0.61504
Athletic Club
Huesca		44.4%
28.5%		27.1%
+190
+165
+190
+160
0
1		-1.00865-1.00622-1.25446
Getafe
Celta Vigo		35.9%
34.0%		30.1%
+185
+181
+180
+180
0
1		-1.06007-1.07090-1.07828
Valencia
Sevilla		22.7%
56.3%		21.0%
+475
-160
+475
-160
0
1		-0.51420-0.52405-0.57437
Barcelona
Levante		63.2%
20.4%		16.4%
-550
+1400
-600
+1325
3
3		-1.46428-1.45643-1.02393
Alavés
Elche		34.1%
35.8%		30.1%
+185
+198
+185
+185
2
0		-1.07810-1.09285-1.07502
Cadiz
Osasuna		27.2%
46.8%		25.9%
+400
-125
+360
-125
2
3		-0.61328-0.63726-0.75916
Granada
Betis		37.4%
35.7%		26.8%
+370
-122
+360
-125
1
2		-0.62933-0.63726-1.02954
Sevilla
Real Madrid		28.6%
45.2%		26.3%
+310
-113
+310
-115
2
2		-1.05604-1.06624-1.02366
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		22.6%
58.2%		19.2%
+435
-159
+420
-145
4
2		-1.70683-1.68222-1.48572
Valladolid
Valencia		26.4%
49.5%		24.1%
+290
+115
+260
+120
0
3		-0.78531-0.83704-0.70229
Eibar
Getafe		29.2%
42.4%		28.4%
+315
+114
+265
+120
1
0		-1.45350-1.34458-1.23162
Osasuna
Athletic Club		30.0%
43.4%		26.6%
+430
-135
+380
-130
2
2		-1.14038-1.11964-1.01968
Huesca
Cadiz		32.5%
37.1%		30.4%
+103
+325
+100
+320
1
2		-1.48192-1.48444-0.99201
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona		31.8%
39.9%		28.3%
+388
-135
+350
-130
0
0		-1.10490-1.08667-1.03250
Levante
Alavés		43.1%
30.6%		26.3%
+275
+117
+245
+120
2
2		-1.07391-1.06418-1.01338
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.60276 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.59121 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.54806
0.05470
0.04315

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.