Athletic Club at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Athletic Club

48.2%26.5%25.2%
Athletic Club WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.45Projected Goals 0.97
2Final Score 1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Athletic Club
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Real Sociedad+140
T 1-1 at Valladolid-110
T 1-1 vs Betis-115
W 1-4 vs Espanyol-220
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-135
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sevilla+310
L 3-1 vs Las Palmas-115
W 0-1 vs Alavés+100
W 2-1 at Valladolid+150
T 1-1 vs Leganés-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+195-+145+152-+152+152-
Rayo Vallecano+169-+210+235-+235+235-
Draw+209-+210+195-+195+210-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+170-+145-+135+135+145-
Rayo Vallecano+190-+227-+185+235+235-
Draw+200-+195-+185+205+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 20.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +151 to +142
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +220 to +210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 20.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +145 to +135
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +190 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120-o2-110o2-108-o2-108o2-108-
Underu2+100-u2-110u2-112-u2-112u2-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110o2-115o2-110-o2-125o2-115o2-110-
Underu2-110u2-105u2-110-u2-105u2-105u2-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.89%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 412.71%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.51%
Exactly 321.01%
Exactly 56.15%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 023.43%
Exactly 134.00%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 311.93%
Exactly 44.33%
Exactly 51.26%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 037.93%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.82%
Exactly 35.76%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.61%
Exactly 220.47%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 051.08%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 211.53%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 063.84%
Exactly 128.65%
Exactly 26.43%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals23.81%
Wins by 3+ goals9.22%
Wins by 4+ goals2.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals8.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal24.36%
Wins by 2 goals14.59%
Wins by 3 goals6.36%
Wins by 4 goals2.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal16.28%
Wins by 2 goals6.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.11%8.89%
1.569.60%30.40%
2.543.56%56.44%
3.522.55%77.45%
4.59.84%90.16%
5.53.69%96.31%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.57%23.43%
1.542.56%57.44%
2.517.90%82.10%
3.55.96%94.04%
4.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.07%37.93%
1.525.30%74.70%
2.57.48%92.52%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.39%32.61%
1.530.85%69.15%
2.510.38%89.62%
3.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
8.89%
8.62%
4.18%
1.35%
0.33%
1
12.90%
12.50%
6.06%
1.96%
0.47%
2
9.36%
9.07%
4.40%
1.42%
0.34%
3
4.53%
4.39%
2.13%
0.69%
0.17%
4
1.64%
1.59%
0.77%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.48%
0.46%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
Athletic Club
1-012.90%
2-09.36%
2-19.07%
3-04.53%
3-14.39%
3-22.13%
4-01.64%
4-11.59%
4-20.77%
4-30.25%
5-00.48%
5-10.46%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-08.89%
1-112.50%
2-24.40%
3-30.69%
Rayo Vallecano
0-18.62%
0-24.18%
1-26.06%
0-31.35%
1-31.96%
2-31.42%
0-40.33%
1-40.47%
2-40.34%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
32.61%
14.63%
3.28%
0.49%
1
21.91%
9.83%
2.21%
0.33%
2
7.36%
3.30%
0.74%
0.11%
3
1.65%
0.74%
0.17%
0.02%
4
0.28%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Athletic Club
1-021.91%
2-07.36%
2-13.30%
3-01.65%
3-10.74%
3-20.17%
4-00.28%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-032.61%
1-19.83%
2-20.74%
Rayo Vallecano
0-114.63%
0-23.28%
1-22.21%
0-30.49%
1-30.33%
2-30.11%