Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kayserispor
Goztepe 		22.7%
52.8%		24.5%
+300
-120
+335
-125
1.00
1.65		2.65
o2½-127
u2¾-120

Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK 		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+125
+220
+120
+240
1.36
1.22		2.58
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Karagumruk
Goztepe		42.5%
33.1%		24.3%
+256
+100
+265
+100
1
0		-1.32825-1.34519-0.85480
Yeni Malatyaspor
Rizespor		37.8%
36.8%		25.3%
+215
+131
+285
+105
0
1		-0.88160-0.76718-0.99845
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray		30.1%
45.6%		24.3%
+190
+140
+220
+120
1
1		-1.30302-1.30420-1.41651
Hatayspor
Trabzonspor		35.3%
40.5%		24.2%
+370
-139
+375
-145
0
2		-0.59151-0.57556-0.90296
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor		35.9%
37.8%		26.3%
+242
+115
+260
+115
0
1		-0.81500-0.81482-0.97302
Sivasspor
Kasımpaşa		42.6%
32.9%		24.5%
+186
+150
+175
+165
3
1		-1.10392-1.06372-0.85369
Fenerbahce
Gaziantep FK		40.5%
35.7%		23.8%
+100
+245
-105
+275
2
3		-1.31505-1.37322-1.02887
Galatasaray
Sivasspor		47.5%
28.2%		24.3%
+165
+175
+170
+180
0
1		-1.05912-1.07852-1.26684
Kayserispor
Besiktas		16.3%
68.1%		15.6%
+613
-244
+700
-275
2
4		-0.39571-0.35782-0.38418
Alanyaspor
Yeni Malatyaspor		50.3%
26.8%		22.9%
+160
+175
+155
+180
6
2		-0.99951-0.98709-0.68711
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor		47.1%
29.0%		23.9%
+141
+215
+145
+215
1
2		-1.18133-1.19448-1.23760
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		22.4%
58.7%		19.0%
+415
-130
+385
-145
1
2		-0.57031-0.57444-0.53353
Goztepe
Rizespor		39.1%
35.9%		25.0%
+153
+185
+150
+185
1
3		-1.08350-1.09551-1.02454
Konyaspor
Karagumruk		26.5%
50.6%		22.8%
+200
+153
+175
+155
4
1		-1.11939-1.06031-1.32678
Yeni Malatyaspor
Konyaspor		34.9%
39.1%		25.9%
+405
-140
+460
-150
0
0		-1.38637-1.34596-1.35000
Gaziantep FK
Goztepe		42.1%
33.7%		24.2%
+260
+110
+240
+110
1
2		-0.78891-0.79264-1.08717
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39066 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.41075 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29722
0.09344
0.11353

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.