Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 31 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/18/2023 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Fenerbahce	32.7% 41.5%	25.8%	+609 -209 +570 -230	1 3	-0.42074-0.41210	-0.87943
05/17/2023 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Ankaragucu	48.3% 25.6%	26.1%	+200 +145 +200 +140	1 1	-1.22670-1.25632	-1.34438
05/16/2023 05:00 PM	Konyaspor Alanyaspor	15.4% 63.8%	20.8%	+197 +137 +180 +130	3 0	-1.10679-1.07999	-1.87184
05/16/2023 02:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Sivasspor	23.1% 53.0%	23.8%	+289 +101 +290 -110	2 1	-1.38581-1.41375	-1.46512
05/07/2023 01:00 PM	Kayserispor Konyaspor	24.6% 49.4%	25.9%	+369 -140 +340 -140	2 2	-1.48912-1.47342	-1.34950
05/06/2023 04:00 PM	Besiktas Antalyaspor	57.6% 20.1%	22.4%	+134 +218 +130 +220	3 1	-0.88462-0.88201	-0.55243
04/30/2023 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Besiktas	33.8% 39.4%	26.8%	+149 +179 +135 +175	1 3	-1.05806-1.06259	-0.93229
04/29/2023 04:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Ankaragucu	43.8% 30.0%	26.1%	+280 -110 +260 -105	0 0	-1.38390-1.38677	-1.34193
04/29/2023 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Sivasspor	44.3% 29.9%	25.8%	+104 +274 -130 +340	3 1	-0.74621-0.62146	-0.81360
04/29/2023 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Karagumruk	23.3% 52.4%	24.3%	+145 +175 +180 +140	1 0	-0.94448-1.07993	-1.45865
04/29/2023 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Konyaspor	53.3% 22.5%	24.2%	+206 +142 +200 +135	1 2	-0.91734-0.90604	-1.49072
04/24/2023 05:00 PM	Sivasspor Antalyaspor	37.9% 33.8%	28.3%	+291 +110 +290 +105	2 1	-1.38677-1.41157	-0.97138
04/23/2023 04:00 PM	Karagumruk Galatasaray	21.1% 55.5%	23.4%	+775 -300 +785 -345	3 3	-1.78665-1.85918	-1.45397
04/23/2023 10:30 AM	Konyaspor Kasımpaşa	34.5% 38.1%	27.4%	+197 +149 +195 +130	2 1	-1.11392-1.13206	-1.06514
04/16/2023 05:30 PM	Besiktas Trabzonspor	38.7% 35.0%	26.3%	+155 +173 +145 +180	0 0	-1.27924-1.30254	-1.33499
04/15/2023 05:30 PM	Ankaragucu Fenerbahce	9.7% 74.9%	15.4%	+675 -265 +735 -300	1 2	-0.36823-0.33798	-0.28871

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.