Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/03/2021 10:30 AM	Hatayspor Yeni Malatyaspor	49.2% 28.2%	22.7%	+135 +205 +120 +230	2 0	-0.91018-0.83884	-0.70981
10/02/2021 04:00 PM	Sivasspor Besiktas	24.9% 54.1%	21.0%	+251 +110 +255 +110	1 2	-0.78691-0.79264	-0.61463
10/02/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Kayserispor	56.5% 22.8%	20.8%	+110 +260 +100 +275	2 1	-0.78244-0.74421	-0.57155
10/02/2021 10:30 AM	Alanyaspor Konyaspor	50.8% 26.1%	23.1%	+192 +148 +195 +145	1 1	-1.24150-1.24289	-1.46547
10/01/2021 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Karagumruk	39.3% 36.1%	24.6%	+167 +163 +160 +170	1 3	-1.00509-1.04120	-1.01957
09/27/2021 05:00 PM	Alanyaspor Trabzonspor	36.3% 38.8%	25.0%	+380 -133 +380 -130	1 1	-1.38818-1.33097	-1.38810
09/27/2021 05:00 PM	Konyaspor Kasımpaşa	36.2% 38.7%	25.1%	+165 +170 +170 +170	2 2	-1.24344-1.22595	-1.38210
09/26/2021 04:00 PM	Goztepe Galatasaray	20.8% 59.6%	19.6%	+450 -185 +500 -200	1 2	-0.48823-0.45495	-0.51785
09/26/2021 01:00 PM	Rizespor Trabzonspor	21.4% 59.5%	19.1%	+435 -161 +450 -150	0 3	-0.53491-0.56161	-0.51945
09/26/2021 01:00 PM	Fenerbahce Hatayspor	35.3% 41.1%	23.6%	+158 +175 +135 +195	2 1	-0.97864-0.90736	-1.04038
09/25/2021 01:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Antalyaspor	33.3% 41.1%	25.6%	+294 -105 +315 -105	0 1	-0.70467-0.71943	-0.88865
09/25/2021 10:30 AM	Karagumruk Sivasspor	37.7% 37.0%	25.3%	+265 +105 +265 +110	0 4	-0.76503-0.79376	-0.99433
09/23/2021 05:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Alanyaspor	21.2% 60.3%	18.5%	+325 -115 +330 -115	0 2	-0.66890-0.67749	-0.50536
09/23/2021 02:00 PM	Trabzonspor Konyaspor	49.1% 27.5%	23.4%	+130 +217 +125 +230	2 2	-1.23932-1.24316	-1.45261
09/22/2021 05:00 PM	Galatasaray Kayserispor	61.6% 19.0%	19.4%	-110 +295 -120 +320	0 3	-1.41576-1.48408	-1.66010
09/22/2021 05:00 PM	Hatayspor Goztepe	48.0% 29.2%	22.7%	+200 +130 +210 +130	2 0	-1.15027-1.18159	-0.73322

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.