Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 17, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gaziantep FK
Fenerbahce 		26.2%
49.9%		23.8%
+1000
-417
+1050
-450
1.18
1.72		2.90
o3¼-105
u3¼-115

Games for Mar 16, 2026
Games for Mar 18, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Karagumruk
Besiktas		27.7%
50.7%		21.6%
+450
-182
+500
-200
0
1		-0.49494-0.45722-0.67919
Gaziantep FK
Yeni Malatyaspor		43.1%
32.6%		24.3%
+200
+156
+205
+150
0
2		-0.98548-0.96551-1.12202
Kayserispor
Trabzonspor		18.8%
63.0%		18.2%
+508
-164
+500
-170
1
0		-1.84947-1.84314-1.67121
Rizespor
Antalyaspor		30.5%
44.9%		24.7%
+282
+105
+310
-110
2
3		-0.74335-0.69485-0.80089
Hatayspor
Galatasaray		30.5%
45.7%		23.8%
+543
-225
+600
-230
1
2		-0.42656-0.41015-0.78329
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor		27.9%
48.7%		23.4%
+449
-161
+475
-165
1
2		-0.52743-0.52231-0.71922
Yeni Malatyaspor
Goztepe		33.6%
41.4%		25.0%
+351
-123
+360
-125
1
0		-1.55984-1.57557-1.09103
Antalyaspor
Fenerbahce		24.6%
54.5%		20.9%
+370
-141
+390
-140
0
2		-0.58517-0.58834-0.60778
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		49.1%
27.5%		23.4%
+203
+160
+195
+160
1
2		-1.00775-1.00570-1.29244
Besiktas
Gaziantep FK		44.8%
32.1%		23.1%
-141
+360
-145
+375
0
0		-1.40842-1.43734-1.46581
Karagumruk
Rizespor		47.5%
29.2%		23.2%
+160
+191
+155
+190
0
0		-1.19211-1.21147-1.45938
Konyaspor
Sivasspor		28.8%
46.4%		24.8%
+270
+116
+275
+115
1
0		-1.35588-1.36983-1.24403
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor		48.6%
28.2%		23.2%
-105
+276
-105
+290
5
1		-0.71703-0.71812-0.72103
Goztepe
Antalyaspor		34.5%
40.1%		25.4%
+225
+127
+240
+120
1
1		-1.24820-1.24434-1.36928
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor		36.3%
38.8%		25.0%
+255
+114
+275
+110
1
0		-1.30833-1.37105-1.01377
Kasımpaşa
Hatayspor		22.4%
59.3%		18.4%
+180
+150
+160
+160
1
1		-1.33340-1.31662-1.69451
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.51370 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.53582 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.34961
0.16409
0.18621

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.