Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gaziantep FK
Kasımpaşa 		49.0%
26.9%		24.2%


1.67
1.18		2.85


Hatayspor
Fenerbahce 		33.1%
41.5%		25.4%


1.28
1.47		2.75


Games for Jan 4, 2025
Games for Jan 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+195
+128
+240
+120
2
2		-1.29302-1.24434-1.64507
Galatasaray
Kayserispor		68.5%
12.4%		19.1%
-286
+575
-285
+675
5
1		-0.37148-0.35059-0.37802
Rizespor
Goztepe		27.0%
47.8%		25.2%
+225
+130
+240
+125
0
3		-0.88187-0.86074-0.73796
Antalyaspor
Gaziantep FK		23.9%
51.7%		24.4%
+260
+100
+225
+120
0
2		-0.75470-0.83924-0.66054
Alanyaspor
Besiktas		29.5%
45.2%		25.2%
+320
-130
+345
-140
1
1		-1.37936-1.46162-1.37646
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+480
-250
+600
-275
3
4		-0.41250-0.35905-0.72741
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce		32.7%
41.5%		25.8%
+475
-217
+610
-255
1
3		-0.45212-0.38104-0.87943
Kayserispor
Antalyaspor		22.6%
52.3%		25.2%
+235
+110
+245
+110
0
2		-0.81678-0.79239-0.64907
Goztepe
Hatayspor		18.2%
60.7%		21.0%
+140
+185
+135
+200
1
1		-1.26213-1.27540-1.56084
Gaziantep FK
Alanyaspor		24.4%
51.5%		24.0%
+340
-140
+360
-145
0
3		-0.59784-0.57629-0.66289
Konyaspor
Rizespor		35.6%
36.1%		28.3%
+300
-108
+325
-110
1
1		-1.26369-1.27561-1.26157
Rizespor
Gaziantep FK		19.0%
59.3%		21.6%
+140
+180
+165
+175
0
1		-1.10797-1.05912-0.52195
Hatayspor
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.8%		26.0%
+410
-150
+400
-135
0
3		-0.57506-0.60525-0.89715
Galatasaray
Sivasspor		50.9%
23.7%		25.4%
-345
+750
-360
+825
3
2		-0.31243-0.29582-0.67556
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor		64.6%
14.9%		20.4%
+175
+145
+180
+150
0
2		-0.95594-0.96627-1.90073
Fenerbahce
Besiktas		27.9%
48.1%		24.0%
-110
+260
-115
+290
0
1		-1.34044-1.41075-0.73137
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.