Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor 		52.6%
22.8%		24.6%


1.64
0.99		2.63


Genclerbirligi
Karagumruk 		14.6%
66.0%		19.4%


0.90
2.16		3.06


Games for May 2, 2026
Games for May 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fenerbahce
Galatasaray		26.5%
48.6%		24.8%
+280
+105
+280
+110
0
3		-0.77044-0.79248-0.72134
Antalyaspor
Goztepe		32.4%
40.2%		27.4%
+500
-175
+525
-180
0
2		-0.50665-0.49040-0.91185
Rizespor
Kayserispor		36.9%
35.0%		28.0%
+200
+132
+215
+120
0
2		-0.89438-0.83704-1.04925
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+375
-139
+385
-140
0
4		-0.59580-0.58709-0.42509
Kayserispor
Gaziantep FK		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+210
+126
+210
+130
0
3		-0.86883-0.88312-0.44635
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor		32.7%
40.8%		26.5%
+280
-120
+275
-115
1
1		-1.44325-1.43658-1.32825
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa		59.1%
19.2%		21.7%
+205
+150
+165
+170
0
1		-0.97054-1.04276-1.64964
Galatasaray
Genclerbirligi		70.1%
11.8%		18.1%
-286
+680
-260
+625
2
1		-0.36302-0.37481-0.35543
Rizespor
Fenerbahce		14.2%
67.4%		18.4%
+700
-333
+815
-330
2
2		-1.82220-1.80582-1.69179
Konyaspor
Antalyaspor		29.7%
42.6%		27.6%
+170
+164
+160
+180
2
0		-1.04854-1.00376-1.21248
Gaziantep FK
Rizespor		50.3%
25.4%		24.3%
+330
-125
+350
-125
1
2		-0.64802-0.63824-1.37125
Kasımpaşa
Goztepe		28.5%
46.5%		25.0%
+335
-109
+400
-125
3
3		-1.20281-1.27225-1.38506
Karagumruk
Konyaspor		46.2%
27.8%		26.0%
+350
-119
+435
-150
0
3		-0.68514-0.55968-1.28139
Fenerbahce
Kayserispor		63.6%
16.1%		20.3%
-222
+500
-215
+525
4
0		-0.44961-0.43155-0.45194
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor		30.6%
43.2%		26.2%
+131
+200
+140
+200
1
1		-1.26090-1.25632-1.33926
Genclerbirligi
Trabzonspor		11.3%
71.7%		17.0%
+395
-175
+505
-190
0
3		-0.52307-0.47453-0.33223
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.77044 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79248 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.72134
0.04910
0.07114

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.