Sao Paulo at Palmeiras

Updated

Sao Paulo

31.6%29.5%39.0%
Sao Paulo WinDrawPalmeiras Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.15
0Final Score 5

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Gremio
L 0-2 at Goias
T 0-0 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
Palmeiras
Money Line
W 2-0 at Coritiba
L 0-1 at Gremio
W 0-1 vs Goias
T 0-0 at Corinthians
W 0-1 vs Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+390+323+295+315-+315+323-
Palmeiras-125+104+105+100-+100+105-
Draw+240+233+225+225-+225+233-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo------
Palmeiras------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-122o2-125o2-125-o2-125o2-122-
Underu2¼-108u2+102u2+105u2+105-u2+105u2+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.1%
 
No56.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.69%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.34%
Exactly 61.59%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.09%
Exactly 319.27%
Exactly 54.44%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 036.77%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.40%
Exactly 36.14%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.52%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.01%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 41.51%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.06%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 062.93%
Exactly 129.15%
Exactly 26.75%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 058.82%
Exactly 131.22%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals11.70%
Wins by 3+ goals3.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals16.26%
Wins by 3+ goals5.20%
Wins by 4+ goals1.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal19.81%
Wins by 2 goals8.43%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal22.69%
Wins by 2 goals11.07%
Wins by 3 goals3.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.31%11.69%
1.563.23%36.77%
2.536.30%63.70%
3.517.03%82.97%
4.56.69%93.31%
5.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.23%36.77%
1.526.44%73.56%
2.58.04%91.96%
3.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.99%37.01%
1.526.20%73.80%
2.57.92%92.08%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
11.69%
13.40%
7.68%
2.93%
0.84%
0.19%
1
11.69%
13.40%
7.68%
2.94%
0.84%
0.19%
2
5.85%
6.70%
3.84%
1.47%
0.42%
0.10%
3
1.95%
2.24%
1.28%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.49%
0.56%
0.32%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-011.69%
2-05.85%
2-16.70%
3-01.95%
3-12.24%
3-21.28%
4-00.49%
4-10.56%
4-20.32%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.69%
1-113.40%
2-23.84%
3-30.49%
Palmeiras
0-113.40%
0-27.68%
1-27.68%
0-32.93%
1-32.94%
2-31.47%
0-40.84%
1-40.84%
2-40.42%
3-40.14%
0-50.19%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Score01234
0
37.01%
19.64%
5.21%
0.92%
0.12%
1
17.14%
9.10%
2.41%
0.43%
0.06%
2
3.97%
2.11%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.61%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-017.14%
2-03.97%
2-12.11%
3-00.61%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-037.01%
1-19.10%
2-20.56%
Palmeiras
0-119.64%
0-25.21%
1-22.41%
0-30.92%
1-30.43%
0-40.12%
Palmeiras at Coritiba
Internacional at Vasco da Gama