Gremio at Sao Paulo

Updated

Gremio

29.7%28.5%41.8%
Gremio WinDrawSao Paulo Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.24
0Final Score 3

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 2-3 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Palmeiras
T 4-4 at Corinthians
L 0-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-5 vs Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 0-2 at Goias
T 0-0 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
L 1-2 at Internacional

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+350+506+500+500-+500+506-
Sao Paulo-120-157-175-174--174-157-
Draw+250+297+310+304-+304+310-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio------
Sao Paulo------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 50.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-103o2½-105o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+100-
Underu2½-115u2½-117u2½-115u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.60%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 411.20%
Exactly 61.88%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.79%
Exactly 319.97%
Exactly 55.03%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 036.75%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.41%
Exactly 36.15%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 028.85%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 222.29%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.38%
Exactly 219.10%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.61%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 062.91%
Exactly 129.16%
Exactly 26.76%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 056.24%
Exactly 132.37%
Exactly 29.31%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals10.92%
Wins by 3+ goals3.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals18.47%
Wins by 3+ goals6.31%
Wins by 4+ goals1.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal18.74%
Wins by 2 goals7.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal23.27%
Wins by 2 goals12.16%
Wins by 3 goals4.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.34%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.40%10.60%
1.565.61%34.39%
2.538.91%61.09%
3.518.94%81.06%
4.57.74%92.26%
5.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.25%36.75%
1.526.47%73.53%
2.58.05%91.95%
3.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.15%28.85%
1.535.29%64.71%
2.513.00%87.00%
3.53.76%96.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.62%35.38%
1.527.86%72.14%
2.58.76%91.24%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
10.60%
13.18%
8.19%
3.39%
1.05%
0.26%
1
10.61%
13.19%
8.20%
3.40%
1.06%
0.26%
2
5.31%
6.60%
4.10%
1.70%
0.53%
0.13%
3
1.77%
2.20%
1.37%
0.57%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.44%
0.55%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Gremio
1-010.61%
2-05.31%
2-16.60%
3-01.77%
3-12.20%
3-21.37%
4-00.44%
4-10.55%
4-20.34%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.60%
1-113.19%
2-24.10%
3-30.57%
Sao Paulo
0-113.18%
0-28.19%
1-28.20%
0-33.39%
1-33.40%
2-31.70%
0-41.05%
1-41.06%
2-40.53%
3-40.18%
0-50.26%
1-50.26%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
35.38%
20.36%
5.86%
1.12%
0.16%
1
16.40%
9.44%
2.72%
0.52%
0.07%
2
3.80%
2.19%
0.63%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.59%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-016.40%
2-03.80%
2-12.19%
3-00.59%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-035.38%
1-19.44%
2-20.63%
Sao Paulo
0-120.36%
0-25.86%
1-22.72%
0-31.12%
1-30.52%
2-30.12%
0-40.16%
Sao Paulo at Goias
Palmeiras at Coritiba