Napoli at Real Madrid

Updated

Napoli

24.5%25.3%50.2%
Napoli WinDrawReal Madrid Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.57
2Final Score 4

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+165
L 0-2 at Liverpool+267
W 2-4 vs Ajax-170
W 6-1 at Ajax+180
W 1-4 vs Liverpool+285
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 3-2 at Napoli+158
L 0-4 at Manchester City+430
T 1-1 vs Manchester City+210
W 0-2 vs Chelsea-150
W 0-1 vs Liverpool+133

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+350+315+320+337-+337+337-
Real Madrid-140-120-135-130--130-120-
Draw+310+308+320+315-+315+320-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+285-+345-+285+330+345-
Real Madrid-140--140--140-135-135-
Draw+270-+320-+270+310+320-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +330 to +320
Real Madrid ML moved from -118 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 40.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +310 to +300
Real Madrid ML moved from -133 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3+105o3+100o3+100-o3+100o3+105-
Underu2¾+100u3-120u3-120u3-120-u3-120u3-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+100o3+100-o3-115o3+100o3+100-
Underu3-140u3-120u3-120-u3-115u3-120u3-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.49%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 414.07%
Exactly 63.15%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.42%
Exactly 321.73%
Exactly 57.29%
Exactly 71.17%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 036.10%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.74%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 020.76%
Exactly 132.64%
Exactly 225.66%
Exactly 313.45%
Exactly 45.29%
Exactly 51.66%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.13%
Exactly 221.68%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 38.67%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 062.39%
Exactly 129.43%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 048.29%
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 212.80%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals8.87%
Wins by 3+ goals2.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals25.97%
Wins by 3+ goals10.66%
Wins by 4+ goals3.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal15.62%
Wins by 2 goals6.43%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals15.31%
Wins by 3 goals7.14%
Wins by 4 goals2.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.51%7.49%
1.573.09%26.91%
2.547.93%52.07%
3.526.21%73.79%
4.512.13%87.87%
5.54.84%95.16%
6.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.90%36.10%
1.527.11%72.89%
2.58.38%91.62%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.24%20.76%
1.546.61%53.39%
2.520.95%79.05%
3.57.50%92.50%
4.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.87%30.13%
1.533.73%66.27%
2.512.04%87.96%
3.53.37%96.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
7.49%
11.78%
9.26%
4.85%
1.91%
0.60%
1
7.63%
12.00%
9.44%
4.95%
1.94%
0.61%
2
3.89%
6.11%
4.81%
2.52%
0.99%
0.31%
3
1.32%
2.08%
1.63%
0.86%
0.34%
0.11%
4
0.34%
0.53%
0.42%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
Napoli
1-07.63%
2-03.89%
2-16.11%
3-01.32%
3-12.08%
3-21.63%
4-00.34%
4-10.53%
4-20.42%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.49%
1-112.00%
2-24.81%
3-30.86%
Real Madrid
0-111.78%
0-29.26%
1-29.44%
0-34.85%
1-34.95%
2-32.52%
0-41.91%
1-41.94%
2-40.99%
3-40.34%
0-50.60%
1-50.61%
2-50.31%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
30.13%
21.93%
7.98%
1.94%
0.35%
1
14.21%
10.35%
3.77%
0.91%
0.17%
2
3.35%
2.44%
0.89%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.53%
0.38%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Napoli
1-014.21%
2-03.35%
2-12.44%
3-00.53%
3-10.38%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-030.13%
1-110.35%
2-20.89%
Real Madrid
0-121.93%
0-27.98%
1-23.77%
0-31.94%
1-30.91%
2-30.22%
0-40.35%
1-40.17%