Juventus at Villarreal

Updated

Juventus

53.9%23.7%22.3%
Juventus WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.73Projected Goals 1.03
1Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Juventus
Money Line
L 0-4 at Chelsea+552
W 2-4 vs Zenit-190
W 1-0 at Zenit+141
W 0-1 vs Chelsea+263
W 2-3 vs Porto-178
Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-2 at Atalanta+410
L 2-0 vs Manchester United+165
W 0-2 vs Young Boys-260
W 4-1 at Young Boys+110
L 1-2 at Manchester United+565

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Juventus+145+229+220+200+199+200+229+233.9
Villarreal+180+152+140+155+149+155+155+154.8
Draw+240+212+210+220+207+220+220+224.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Juventus+170-+215-+175+220+220+233.9
Villarreal+165-+147-+135+145+147+154.8
Draw+230-+208-+195+205+208+224.5

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Juventus: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Juventus: 50.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Juventus: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Juventus ML moved from +215 to +200
Villarreal ML moved from +150 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Juventus: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Juventus: 50.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Juventus: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Juventus ML moved from +205 to +195
Villarreal ML moved from +153 to +147

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-135o2¼+100o2¼+104-o2¼+104o2-135o2-128
Underu2¼+102u2+120u2¼-120u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-120u2+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2-140o2-140-o2-145o2-140o2-140o2-128
Underu2½-135u2+120u2+120-u2+115u2+120u2+120u2+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.8%
 
No47.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.35%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 415.28%
Exactly 63.87%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.50%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 58.43%
Exactly 71.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Juventus
Exactly 017.70%
Exactly 130.65%
Exactly 226.54%
Exactly 315.32%
Exactly 46.63%
Exactly 52.30%
Exactly 60.66%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 035.88%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.85%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.90%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 39.67%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Juventus
Exactly 044.85%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 214.42%
Exactly 33.85%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 062.21%
Exactly 129.53%
Exactly 27.01%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Juventus
Wins by 2+ goals29.79%
Wins by 3+ goals13.23%
Wins by 4+ goals4.82%
Wins by 5+ goals1.46%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals7.99%
Wins by 3+ goals2.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Juventus
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Juventus
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals16.56%
Wins by 3 goals8.41%
Wins by 4 goals3.36%
Wins by 5 goals1.10%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal14.27%
Wins by 2 goals5.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.65%6.35%
1.576.15%23.85%
2.552.02%47.98%
3.529.85%70.15%
4.514.57%85.43%
5.56.14%93.86%
6.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Juventus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.30%17.70%
1.551.66%48.34%
2.525.12%74.88%
3.59.80%90.20%
4.53.17%96.83%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.12%35.88%
1.527.35%72.65%
2.58.50%91.50%
3.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.10%27.90%
1.536.48%63.52%
2.513.75%86.25%
3.54.08%95.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Juventus
Villarreal
Score01234
0
6.35%
6.51%
3.34%
1.14%
0.29%
1
11.00%
11.27%
5.78%
1.97%
0.51%
2
9.52%
9.76%
5.00%
1.71%
0.44%
3
5.50%
5.63%
2.89%
0.99%
0.25%
4
2.38%
2.44%
1.25%
0.43%
0.11%
5
0.82%
0.84%
0.43%
0.15%
0.04%
Juventus
1-011.00%
2-09.52%
2-19.76%
3-05.50%
3-15.63%
3-22.89%
4-02.38%
4-12.44%
4-21.25%
4-30.43%
5-00.82%
5-10.84%
5-20.43%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.35%
1-111.27%
2-25.00%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Villarreal
0-16.51%
0-23.34%
1-25.78%
0-31.14%
1-31.97%
2-31.71%
0-40.29%
1-40.51%
2-40.44%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Juventus
Villarreal
Score0123
0
27.90%
13.24%
3.14%
0.50%
1
22.37%
10.62%
2.52%
0.40%
2
8.97%
4.26%
1.01%
0.16%
3
2.40%
1.14%
0.27%
0.04%
4
0.48%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
Juventus
1-022.37%
2-08.97%
2-14.26%
3-02.40%
3-11.14%
3-20.27%
4-00.48%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-027.90%
1-110.62%
2-21.01%
Villarreal
0-113.24%
0-23.14%
1-22.52%
0-30.50%
1-30.40%
2-30.16%