Manchester United at Villarreal

Updated

Manchester United

54.3%20.9%24.9%
Manchester United WinDrawVillarreal Win
2.01Projected Goals 0.92
2Final Score 0

Villarreal

Last 4 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
T 2-2 at Atalanta+131
W 2-3 vs Atalanta-160
W 1-2 vs Villarreal-195
L 1-2 at Young Boys-250
Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Young Boys-260
W 4-1 at Young Boys+110
L 1-2 at Manchester United+565
T 2-2 vs Atalanta+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United+125-+175+180+173+180+180+200.5
Villarreal+215-+155+160+154+160+160+160.6
Draw+250-+240+240+233+240+240+252.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester United+145-+186-+125+185+186+200.5
Villarreal+185-+150-+165+155+165+160.6
Draw+245-+236-+225+225+236+252.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +185 to +175
Villarreal ML moved from +170 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester United: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester United: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester United ML moved from +185 to +175
Villarreal ML moved from +162 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2½-122o2½-125-o2½-125o2½-111
Under-u2½+102u2½+105-u2½+105u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120-o2½-130o2½-120o2½-111
Underu2½-105u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+100u2½+111

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.35%
Exactly 222.93%
Exactly 416.39%
Exactly 64.69%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.66%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.60%
Exactly 71.96%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 013.42%
Exactly 126.95%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.12%
Exactly 49.10%
Exactly 53.65%
Exactly 61.22%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 039.83%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.88%
Exactly 35.18%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.77%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 310.71%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 039.46%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.06%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 065.29%
Exactly 127.83%
Exactly 25.93%
Exactly 30.84%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals38.31%
Wins by 3+ goals19.14%
Wins by 4+ goals7.91%
Wins by 5+ goals2.72%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals5.35%
Wins by 3+ goals1.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals19.16%
Wins by 3 goals11.24%
Wins by 4 goals5.19%
Wins by 5 goals1.96%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal11.11%
Wins by 2 goals4.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.65%5.35%
1.579.00%21.00%
2.556.07%43.93%
3.533.69%66.31%
4.517.30%82.70%
5.57.69%92.31%
6.53.01%96.99%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.58%13.42%
1.559.63%40.37%
2.532.56%67.44%
3.514.44%85.56%
4.55.34%94.66%
5.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.17%39.83%
1.523.51%76.49%
2.56.63%93.37%
3.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.23%25.77%
1.539.29%60.71%
2.515.60%84.40%
3.54.89%95.11%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester United
Villarreal
Score01234
0
5.35%
4.92%
2.27%
0.70%
0.16%
1
10.73%
9.88%
4.55%
1.40%
0.32%
2
10.78%
9.92%
4.57%
1.40%
0.32%
3
7.22%
6.64%
3.06%
0.94%
0.22%
4
3.62%
3.34%
1.54%
0.47%
0.11%
5
1.46%
1.34%
0.62%
0.19%
0.04%
Manchester United
1-010.73%
2-010.78%
2-19.92%
3-07.22%
3-16.64%
3-23.06%
4-03.62%
4-13.34%
4-21.54%
4-30.47%
5-01.46%
5-11.34%
5-20.62%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.35%
1-19.88%
2-24.57%
3-30.94%
4-40.11%
Villarreal
0-14.92%
0-22.27%
1-24.55%
0-30.70%
1-31.40%
2-31.40%
0-40.16%
1-40.32%
2-40.32%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester United
Villarreal
Score0123
0
25.77%
10.98%
2.34%
0.33%
1
23.96%
10.21%
2.18%
0.31%
2
11.14%
4.75%
1.01%
0.14%
3
3.45%
1.47%
0.31%
0.04%
4
0.80%
0.34%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-023.96%
2-011.14%
2-14.75%
3-03.45%
3-11.47%
3-20.31%
4-00.80%
4-10.34%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-025.77%
1-110.21%
2-21.01%
Villarreal
0-110.98%
0-22.34%
1-22.18%
0-30.33%
1-30.31%
2-30.14%