Benfica at Liverpool

Updated

Benfica

11.2%17.2%71.6%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.33
3Final Score 3

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+730
W 1-0 at Ajax+725
T 2-2 vs Ajax+390
T 0-0 at Barcelona+450
L 2-5 at Bayern Munich+1800
Liverpool
Money Line
W 3-1 at Benfica-255
W 0-2 vs Porto-136
W 0-2 vs Atlético Madrid-162
W 3-2 at Atlético Madrid+131
W 5-1 at Porto-128

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+700+706+600+725+644+725+725+719.6
Liverpool-305-241-250-260-276-260-241-221.8
Draw+450+418+420+420+422+420+422+429.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+900-+670--+675+675+719.6
Liverpool-350--255---260-255-221.8
Draw+475-+403--+400+403+429.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Liverpool: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +700 to +675
Liverpool ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Liverpool: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +685 to +670
Liverpool ML moved from -344 to -352

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3½+131o3¼+102o3¼+106-o3¼+106o3¼+106o3½+133
Underu3½-122u3½-146u3¼-122u3¼-122-u3¼-122u3½-146u3½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½+125o3½+128-o3½+120o3½+130o3½+130o3½+133
Underu3½-120u3½-145u3½-148-u3½-150u3½-150u3½-145u3½-133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-116 to u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-125 to u3½-150

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.35%
Exactly 221.38%
Exactly 417.51%
Exactly 65.73%
Exactly 81.01%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.64%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.98%
Exactly 72.57%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 044.85%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 214.42%
Exactly 33.85%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 09.70%
Exactly 122.63%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 320.53%
Exactly 411.97%
Exactly 55.59%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.42%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 44.33%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.00%
Exactly 311.94%
Exactly 51.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 068.98%
Exactly 125.61%
Exactly 24.76%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 033.95%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.81%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 41.93%
Exactly 50.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals3.20%
Wins by 3+ goals0.70%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals48.47%
Wins by 3+ goals27.29%
Wins by 4+ goals12.88%
Wins by 5+ goals5.16%
Wins by 6+ goals1.76%
Wins by 7+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Liverpool
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal7.94%
Wins by 2 goals2.50%
Wins by 3 goals0.58%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal23.11%
Wins by 2 goals21.18%
Wins by 3 goals14.41%
Wins by 4 goals7.72%
Wins by 5 goals3.40%
Wins by 6 goals1.26%
Wins by 7 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.65%4.35%
1.582.01%17.99%
2.560.63%39.37%
3.538.30%61.70%
4.520.79%79.21%
5.59.81%90.19%
6.54.08%95.92%
7.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.15%44.85%
1.519.19%80.81%
2.54.77%95.23%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.30%9.70%
1.567.67%32.33%
2.541.27%58.73%
3.520.74%79.26%
4.58.76%91.24%
5.53.18%96.82%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.58%23.42%
1.542.58%57.42%
2.517.91%82.09%
3.55.97%94.03%
4.51.64%98.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Liverpool
Score012345
0
4.35%
10.15%
11.84%
9.21%
5.37%
2.51%
1
3.49%
8.14%
9.49%
7.38%
4.31%
2.01%
2
1.40%
3.26%
3.81%
2.96%
1.73%
0.81%
3
0.37%
0.87%
1.02%
0.79%
0.46%
0.22%
Benfica
1-03.49%
2-01.40%
2-13.26%
3-00.37%
3-10.87%
3-21.02%
Draw
0-04.35%
1-18.14%
2-23.81%
3-30.79%
Liverpool
0-110.15%
0-211.84%
1-29.49%
0-39.21%
1-37.38%
2-32.96%
0-45.37%
1-44.31%
2-41.73%
3-40.46%
0-52.51%
1-52.01%
2-50.81%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Liverpool
Score012345
0
23.42%
25.30%
13.66%
4.92%
1.33%
0.29%
1
8.70%
9.39%
5.07%
1.83%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.61%
1.74%
0.94%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.20%
0.22%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-08.70%
2-01.61%
2-11.74%
3-00.20%
3-10.22%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-023.42%
1-19.39%
2-20.94%
Liverpool
0-125.30%
0-213.66%
1-25.07%
0-34.92%
1-31.83%
2-30.34%
0-41.33%
1-40.49%
0-50.29%
1-50.11%