Ajax at Benfica

Updated

Ajax

32.4%26.6%41.0%
Ajax WinDrawBenfica Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.36
2Final Score 2

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Sporting CP-415
W 2-1 at Besiktas-247
W 3-1 at Dortmund+130
W 0-4 vs Dortmund+118
W 0-2 vs Besiktas-950
Benfica
Money Line
T 0-0 at Barcelona+450
L 2-5 at Bayern Munich+1800
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+513
W 0-3 vs Barcelona+210
T 0-0 at PSV Eindhoven+315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+100-142-150-155-164-155-142-136.0
Benfica+265+397+370+420+378+420+420+410.8
Draw+255+329+320+325+335+325+335+338.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-105--150--160-150-150-136.0
Benfica+285-+390-+320+380+390+410.8
Draw+260-+310-+265+310+310+338.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Benfica: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Benfica: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Benfica: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -143 to -155
Benfica ML moved from +380 to +370

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Benfica: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -140 to -148
Benfica ML moved from +375 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-104o3-109o3-110o2¾-143-o2¾-143o2¾-143o3+100
Underu2¾-112u3-106u3-110u2¾+123-u2¾+123u3-106u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3-110o3-108-o3+105o3-105o3+105o3+100
Underu2½+120u3-110u3-112-u3-135u3-115u3-110u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.87%
Exactly 225.43%
Exactly 413.69%
Exactly 62.95%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.01%
Exactly 321.55%
Exactly 56.96%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 030.76%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.38%
Exactly 38.40%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 025.60%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 223.76%
Exactly 310.79%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.83%
Exactly 221.34%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.37%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 057.93%
Exactly 131.62%
Exactly 28.63%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 053.22%
Exactly 133.57%
Exactly 210.59%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals13.31%
Wins by 3+ goals4.25%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals18.99%
Wins by 3+ goals6.89%
Wins by 4+ goals2.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.03%
Wins by 2 goals9.06%
Wins by 3 goals3.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal21.99%
Wins by 2 goals12.10%
Wins by 3 goals4.89%
Wins by 4 goals1.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.13%7.87%
1.572.11%27.89%
2.546.68%53.32%
3.525.13%74.87%
4.511.44%88.56%
5.54.48%95.52%
6.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.24%30.76%
1.532.98%67.02%
2.511.60%88.40%
3.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.40%25.60%
1.539.51%60.49%
2.515.75%84.25%
3.54.96%95.04%
4.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.17%30.83%
1.532.89%67.11%
2.511.55%88.45%
3.53.18%96.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Benfica
Score012345
0
7.87%
10.73%
7.31%
3.32%
1.13%
0.31%
1
9.28%
12.65%
8.62%
3.91%
1.33%
0.36%
2
5.47%
7.46%
5.08%
2.31%
0.79%
0.21%
3
2.15%
2.93%
2.00%
0.91%
0.31%
0.08%
4
0.63%
0.86%
0.59%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.20%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Ajax
1-09.28%
2-05.47%
2-17.46%
3-02.15%
3-12.93%
3-22.00%
4-00.63%
4-10.86%
4-20.59%
4-30.27%
5-00.15%
5-10.20%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-07.87%
1-112.65%
2-25.08%
3-30.91%
Benfica
0-110.73%
0-27.31%
1-28.62%
0-33.32%
1-33.91%
2-32.31%
0-41.13%
1-41.33%
2-40.79%
3-40.31%
0-50.31%
1-50.36%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Benfica
Score01234
0
30.83%
19.45%
6.13%
1.29%
0.20%
1
16.83%
10.62%
3.35%
0.70%
0.11%
2
4.59%
2.90%
0.91%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.84%
0.53%
0.17%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Ajax
1-016.83%
2-04.59%
2-12.90%
3-00.84%
3-10.53%
3-20.17%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-030.83%
1-110.62%
2-20.91%
Benfica
0-119.45%
0-26.13%
1-23.35%
0-31.29%
1-30.70%
2-30.19%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%