Paris Saint-Germain at Dortmund

Updated 378 days ago

08:00 PM • Dec 13, 2023

Paris Saint-Germain

52.4%23.1%24.6%

Paris Saint-Germain WinDrawDortmund Win

1.81Projected Goals 1.17

1Final Score 1

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Paris Saint-Germain		Money Line
W 0-2	9/19 vs Dortmund	-143
L 0-2	3/08 at Bayern Munich	+310
L 1-0	2/14 vs Bayern Munich	+185
W 2-1	11/02 at Juventus	-170
T 1-1	10/11 vs Benfica	-230

Dortmund		Money Line
L 0-2	9/19 at Paris Saint-Germain	+330
L 0-2	3/07 at Chelsea	+385
W 0-1	2/15 vs Chelsea	+130
T 1-1	11/02 at FC Copenhagen	-140
T 0-0	10/25 vs Manchester City	+380

Money Line Analysis

:4.4%

	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Paris Saint-Germain	-	-	-	-	-	-
Dortmund	-	-	-	-	-	-
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Paris Saint-Germain	-115	-	-125	-	-140	-125	-125	-
Dortmund	+275	-	+278	-	+265	+280	+280	-
Draw	+300	-	+340	-	+290	+330	+340	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Paris Saint-Germain: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Paris Saint-Germain: 10.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -118 to -12512/11/2023
08:51 PM

Dortmund ML moved from +292 to +27512/13/2023
07:53 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:2.1%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3+100	o3½+105	o3½+100	-	o3½+100	o3½+110	o3½+110	-
Under	u3-120	u3½-125	u3½-120	-	u3½-130	u3½-130	u3½-120	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+10012/13/2023
01:42 PM

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	57.7%


No	42.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	5.08%
Exactly 2	22.55%
Exactly 4	16.69%
Exactly 6	4.94%
Exactly 8	0.78%


Exactly 1	15.14%
Exactly 3	22.40%
Exactly 5	9.95%
Exactly 7	2.10%
Exactly 9	0.26%

Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 0	16.36%
Exactly 1	29.62%
Exactly 2	26.81%
Exactly 3	16.18%
Exactly 4	7.32%
Exactly 5	2.65%
Exactly 6	0.80%
Exactly 7	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 0	31.04%
Exactly 1	36.31%
Exactly 2	21.24%
Exactly 3	8.28%
Exactly 4	2.42%
Exactly 5	0.57%
Exactly 6	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	25.16%
Exactly 2	23.95%
Exactly 4	3.80%
Exactly 6	0.24%


Exactly 1	34.72%
Exactly 3	11.02%
Exactly 5	1.05%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 0	43.25%
Exactly 1	36.25%
Exactly 2	15.19%
Exactly 3	4.24%
Exactly 4	0.89%
Exactly 5	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 0	58.18%
Exactly 1	31.51%
Exactly 2	8.53%
Exactly 3	1.54%
Exactly 4	0.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals	29.27%
Wins by 3+ goals	13.28%
Wins by 4+ goals	4.97%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.54%

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals	9.66%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.74%

Exact Winning Margin

Paris Saint-Germain

Dortmund

Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal	23.04%
Wins by 2 goals	15.99%
Wins by 3 goals	8.31%
Wins by 4 goals	3.42%
Wins by 5 goals	1.16%

Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal	14.89%
Wins by 2 goals	6.68%
Wins by 3 goals	2.24%
Wins by 4 goals	0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	94.92%	5.08%
1.5	79.79%	20.21%
2.5	57.23%	42.77%
3.5	34.83%	65.17%
4.5	18.14%	81.86%
5.5	8.19%	91.81%
6.5	3.25%	96.75%
7.5	1.15%	98.85%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	83.64%	16.36%
1.5	54.02%	45.98%
2.5	27.21%	72.79%
3.5	11.04%	88.96%
4.5	3.72%	96.28%
5.5	1.06%	98.94%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.96%	31.04%
1.5	32.64%	67.36%
2.5	11.40%	88.60%
3.5	3.12%	96.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	74.84%	25.16%
1.5	40.12%	59.88%
2.5	16.16%	83.84%
3.5	5.15%	94.85%
4.5	1.35%	98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paris Saint-Germain

Dortmund

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.08%	5.94%	3.48%	1.36%	0.40%
1	9.19%	10.76%	6.29%	2.45%	0.72%
2	8.32%	9.74%	5.69%	2.22%	0.65%
3	5.02%	5.87%	3.44%	1.34%	0.39%
4	2.27%	2.66%	1.55%	0.61%	0.18%
5	0.82%	0.96%	0.56%	0.22%	0.06%

Paris Saint-Germain
1-0	9.19%
2-0	8.32%
2-1	9.74%
3-0	5.02%
3-1	5.87%
3-2	3.44%
4-0	2.27%
4-1	2.66%
4-2	1.55%
4-3	0.61%
5-0	0.82%
5-1	0.96%
5-2	0.56%
5-3	0.22%

Draw
0-0	5.08%
1-1	10.76%
2-2	5.69%
3-3	1.34%
4-4	0.18%

Dortmund
0-1	5.94%
0-2	3.48%
1-2	6.29%
0-3	1.36%
1-3	2.45%
2-3	2.22%
0-4	0.40%
1-4	0.72%
2-4	0.65%
3-4	0.39%

Correct Score - First Half

Paris Saint-Germain

Dortmund

Score	0	1	2	3
0	25.16%	13.63%	3.69%	0.67%
1	21.09%	11.42%	3.09%	0.56%
2	8.84%	4.79%	1.30%	0.23%
3	2.47%	1.34%	0.36%	0.07%
4	0.52%	0.28%	0.08%	0.01%

Paris Saint-Germain
1-0	21.09%
2-0	8.84%
2-1	4.79%
3-0	2.47%
3-1	1.34%
3-2	0.36%
4-0	0.52%
4-1	0.28%

Draw
0-0	25.16%
1-1	11.42%
2-2	1.30%

Dortmund
0-1	13.63%
0-2	3.69%
1-2	3.09%
0-3	0.67%
1-3	0.56%
2-3	0.23%

Young Boys at RB Leipzig

Lazio at Atlético Madrid

Paris Saint-Germain at Dortmund