Dortmund at Paris Saint-Germain

Updated

Dortmund

18.2%20.3%61.5%
WinDrawParis Saint-Germain Win
1.06Projected Goals 2.12
0Final Score 2

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
L 0-2 at Chelsea+385
W 0-1 vs Chelsea+130
T 1-1 at FC Copenhagen-140
T 0-0 vs Manchester City+380
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-245
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bayern Munich+310
L 1-0 vs Bayern Munich+185
W 2-1 at Juventus-170
T 1-1 vs Benfica-230
T 1-1 at Benfica-112

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund------
Paris Saint-Germain------
Draw------
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+355-+330-+295+330+330-
Paris Saint-Germain-190--143--155-145-143-
Draw+300-+330-+295+345+345-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris Saint-Germain: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Paris Saint-Germain: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +305 to +292
Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -140 to -148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3½-105o3½+110-o3½-105o3½+110o3½+110-
Underu3-110u3½-115u3½-130-u3½-125u3½-130u3½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3½-115
The Under moved from u3½-110 to u3½-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%
 
No42.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.15%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 417.73%
Exactly 65.99%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.20%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 511.29%
Exactly 72.72%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 034.48%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.55%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 012.03%
Exactly 125.48%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 319.04%
Exactly 410.08%
Exactly 54.27%
Exactly 61.51%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.91%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 312.22%
Exactly 51.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 061.08%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 037.51%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals6.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals38.25%
Wins by 3+ goals19.66%
Wins by 4+ goals8.45%
Wins by 5+ goals3.08%
Wins by 6+ goals0.95%
Wins by 7+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal11.66%
Wins by 2 goals4.69%
Wins by 3 goals1.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal23.20%
Wins by 2 goals18.59%
Wins by 3 goals11.22%
Wins by 4 goals5.37%
Wins by 5 goals2.12%
Wins by 6 goals0.71%
Wins by 7 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.85%4.15%
1.582.65%17.35%
2.561.64%38.36%
3.539.36%60.64%
4.521.63%78.37%
5.510.34%89.66%
6.54.36%95.64%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.52%34.48%
1.528.81%71.19%
2.59.26%90.74%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.97%12.03%
1.562.49%37.51%
2.535.51%64.49%
3.516.47%83.53%
4.56.39%93.61%
5.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.09%22.91%
1.543.33%56.67%
2.518.45%81.55%
3.56.24%93.76%
4.51.74%98.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
4.15%
8.78%
9.30%
6.57%
3.48%
1.47%
1
4.42%
9.35%
9.90%
6.99%
3.70%
1.57%
2
2.35%
4.98%
5.27%
3.72%
1.97%
0.83%
3
0.83%
1.77%
1.87%
1.32%
0.70%
0.30%
4
0.22%
0.47%
0.50%
0.35%
0.19%
0.08%
Dortmund
1-04.42%
2-02.35%
2-14.98%
3-00.83%
3-11.77%
3-21.87%
4-00.22%
4-10.47%
4-20.50%
4-30.35%
Draw
0-04.15%
1-19.35%
2-25.27%
3-31.32%
4-40.19%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-18.78%
0-29.30%
1-29.90%
0-36.57%
1-36.99%
2-33.72%
0-43.48%
1-43.70%
2-41.97%
3-40.70%
0-51.47%
1-51.57%
2-50.83%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
22.91%
22.47%
11.01%
3.60%
0.88%
0.17%
1
11.30%
11.08%
5.43%
1.77%
0.44%
0.09%
2
2.78%
2.73%
1.34%
0.44%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.46%
0.45%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-011.30%
2-02.78%
2-12.73%
3-00.46%
3-10.45%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-022.91%
1-111.08%
2-21.34%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-122.47%
0-211.01%
1-25.43%
0-33.60%
1-31.77%
2-30.44%
0-40.88%
1-40.44%
2-40.11%
0-50.17%