Dortmund at Paris Saint-Germain

Updated

Dortmund

18.2%20.3%61.5%
WinDrawParis Saint-Germain Win
1.06Projected Goals 2.12
0Final Score 2

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
L 0-2 at Chelsea+385
W 0-1 vs Chelsea+130
T 1-1 at FC Copenhagen-140
T 0-0 vs Manchester City+380
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-245
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bayern Munich+310
L 1-0 vs Bayern Munich+185
W 2-1 at Juventus-170
T 1-1 vs Benfica-230
T 1-1 at Benfica-112

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund------
Paris Saint-Germain------
Draw------
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+355-+330-+295+330+330-
Paris Saint-Germain-190--143--155-145-143-
Draw+300-+330-+295+345+345-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris Saint-Germain: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Paris Saint-Germain: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Dortmund: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +305 to +292
Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -140 to -148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3½-105o3½+110-o3½-105o3½+110o3½+110-
Underu3-110u3½-115u3½-130-u3½-125u3½-130u3½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3½-115
The Under moved from u3½-110 to u3½-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%
 
No42.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.15%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 417.73%
Exactly 65.99%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.20%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 511.29%
Exactly 72.72%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 034.48%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.55%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 012.03%
Exactly 125.48%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 319.04%
Exactly 410.08%
Exactly 54.27%
Exactly 61.51%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.91%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 312.22%
Exactly 51.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 061.08%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 037.51%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals6.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals38.25%
Wins by 3+ goals19.66%
Wins by 4+ goals8.45%
Wins by 5+ goals3.08%
Wins by 6+ goals0.95%
Wins by 7+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal11.66%
Wins by 2 goals4.69%
Wins by 3 goals1.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal23.20%
Wins by 2 goals18.59%
Wins by 3 goals11.22%
Wins by 4 goals5.37%
Wins by 5 goals2.12%
Wins by 6 goals0.71%
Wins by 7 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.85%4.15%
1.582.65%17.35%
2.561.64%38.36%
3.539.36%60.64%
4.521.63%78.37%
5.510.34%89.66%
6.54.36%95.64%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.52%34.48%
1.528.81%71.19%
2.59.26%90.74%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.97%12.03%
1.562.49%37.51%
2.535.51%64.49%
3.516.47%83.53%
4.56.39%93.61%
5.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.09%22.91%
1.543.33%56.67%
2.518.45%81.55%
3.56.24%93.76%
4.51.74%98.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
4.15%
8.78%
9.30%
6.57%
3.48%
1.47%
1
4.42%
9.35%
9.90%
6.99%
3.70%
1.57%
2
2.35%
4.98%
5.27%
3.72%
1.97%
0.83%
3
0.83%
1.77%
1.87%
1.32%
0.70%
0.30%
4
0.22%
0.47%
0.50%
0.35%
0.19%
0.08%
Dortmund
1-04.42%
2-02.35%
2-14.98%
3-00.83%
3-11.77%
3-21.87%
4-00.22%
4-10.47%
4-20.50%
4-30.35%
Draw
0-04.15%
1-19.35%
2-25.27%
3-31.32%
4-40.19%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-18.78%
0-29.30%
1-29.90%
0-36.57%
1-36.99%
2-33.72%
0-43.48%
1-43.70%
2-41.97%
3-40.70%
0-51.47%
1-51.57%
2-50.83%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
22.91%
22.47%
11.01%
3.60%
0.88%
0.17%
1
11.30%
11.08%
5.43%
1.77%
0.44%
0.09%
2
2.78%
2.73%
1.34%
0.44%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.46%
0.45%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-011.30%
2-02.78%
2-12.73%
3-00.46%
3-10.45%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-022.91%
1-111.08%
2-21.34%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-122.47%
0-211.01%
1-25.43%
0-33.60%
1-31.77%
2-30.44%
0-40.88%
1-40.44%
2-40.11%
0-50.17%
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