Paris Saint-Germain at Benfica

Updated

Paris Saint-Germain

70.1%17.5%12.4%
Paris Saint-Germain WinDrawWin
2.34Projected Goals 0.88
1Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Juventus-325
W 0-1 vs Real Madrid-112
W 1-4 vs Club Brugge-370
L 1-2 at Manchester City+480
T 2-2 at RB Leipzig+160
Benfica
Money Line
W 2-1 at Juventus+220
W 3-1 at Midtjylland-135
W 1-4 vs Midtjylland-350
T 3-3 at Liverpool+675
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+730

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paris Saint-Germain-135-111-125-115-122-115-111-
Benfica+320+297+290+290+289+290+297-
Draw+310+297+320+310+294+310+320-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paris Saint-Germain-140--112--145-115-112-
Benfica+330-+270-+270+275+275-
Draw+325-+295-+300+300+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paris Saint-Germain: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paris Saint-Germain: 40.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -122 to -128
Benfica ML moved from +288 to +279

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paris Saint-Germain: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paris Saint-Germain: 40.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -135 to -145
Benfica ML moved from +295 to +275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3-111o3-115o3-120-o3-120o3-111-
Underu3¼-122u3-104u3-105u3+100-u3+100u3+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-115o3-114-o3-125o3-115o3-114-
Underu3+115u3-105u3-106-u3-105u3-105u3-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.01%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 417.88%
Exactly 66.16%
Exactly 81.14%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.91%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 511.50%
Exactly 72.83%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 09.64%
Exactly 122.55%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 320.57%
Exactly 412.03%
Exactly 55.63%
Exactly 62.19%
Exactly 70.73%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 041.64%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.98%
Exactly 34.67%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.56%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 44.62%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.59%
Exactly 312.41%
Exactly 51.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 033.85%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 066.66%
Exactly 127.04%
Exactly 25.48%
Exactly 30.74%

Alternate Props

Spread

Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals47.07%
Wins by 3+ goals26.37%
Wins by 4+ goals12.41%
Wins by 5+ goals4.96%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals3.78%
Wins by 3+ goals0.88%

Exact Winning Margin

Paris Saint-Germain
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal22.92%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals13.96%
Wins by 4 goals7.45%
Wins by 5 goals3.27%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal8.58%
Wins by 2 goals2.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.73%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.99%4.01%
1.583.08%16.92%
2.562.33%37.67%
3.540.09%59.91%
4.522.22%77.78%
5.510.72%89.28%
6.54.56%95.44%
7.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.36%9.64%
1.567.81%32.19%
2.541.44%58.56%
3.520.87%79.13%
4.58.84%91.16%
5.53.21%96.79%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.36%41.64%
1.521.88%78.12%
2.55.90%94.10%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.44%22.56%
1.543.84%56.16%
2.518.83%81.17%
3.56.42%93.58%
4.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paris Saint-Germain
Benfica
Score0123
0
4.01%
3.52%
1.54%
0.45%
1
9.39%
8.23%
3.60%
1.05%
2
10.98%
9.62%
4.21%
1.23%
3
8.57%
7.50%
3.29%
0.96%
4
5.01%
4.39%
1.92%
0.56%
5
2.34%
2.05%
0.90%
0.26%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-09.39%
2-010.98%
2-19.62%
3-08.57%
3-17.50%
3-23.29%
4-05.01%
4-14.39%
4-21.92%
4-30.56%
5-02.34%
5-12.05%
5-20.90%
5-30.26%
Draw
0-04.01%
1-18.23%
2-24.21%
3-30.96%
4-40.12%
Benfica
0-13.52%
0-21.54%
1-23.60%
0-30.45%
1-31.05%
2-31.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Paris Saint-Germain
Benfica
Score0123
0
22.56%
9.15%
1.86%
0.25%
1
24.44%
9.91%
2.01%
0.27%
2
13.24%
5.37%
1.09%
0.15%
3
4.78%
1.94%
0.39%
0.05%
4
1.29%
0.52%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.28%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-024.44%
2-013.24%
2-15.37%
3-04.78%
3-11.94%
3-20.39%
4-01.29%
4-10.52%
4-20.11%
5-00.28%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-022.56%
1-19.91%
2-21.09%
Benfica
0-19.15%
0-21.86%
1-22.01%
0-30.25%
1-30.27%
2-30.15%