Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 19, 2024

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Games for Sep 18, 2024
Games for Sep 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Manchester City		14.4%
65.7%		19.9%
+430
-168
+410
-175
4
3		-1.70150-1.67430-1.94031
Atlético Madrid
Dortmund		33.6%
38.4%		27.9%
+217
+123
+200
+125
2
4		-0.83559-0.85786-0.95623
Paris Saint-Germain
Barcelona		47.2%
27.6%		25.2%
+208
+116
+210
+115
4
1		-1.15887-1.16661-0.74974
Barcelona
Paris Saint-Germain		20.9%
56.4%		22.6%
+250
+108
+260
+110
3
2		-1.28540-1.29997-1.56403
Dortmund
Atlético Madrid		30.9%
41.8%		27.3%
+370
-123
+355
-125
1
2		-0.62901-0.62556-0.87263
Bayern Munich
Arsenal		66.7%
14.4%		19.0%
+420
-150
+430
-150
2
2		-1.45026-1.44677-1.66331
Manchester City
Real Madrid		57.5%
19.5%		22.9%
+184
+157
+178
+175
3
3		-1.26897-1.25148-1.47190
PSV Eindhoven
Dortmund		7.4%
80.5%		12.1%
+230
+112
+219
+110
0
2		-0.78209-0.78700-0.21720
Porto
Arsenal		31.1%
41.4%		27.5%
+1050
-380
+1000
-370
2
4		-0.26789-0.28044-0.88131
Napoli
Barcelona		20.9%
55.7%		23.4%
+320
-124
+335
-120
1
3		-0.62517-0.63117-0.58445
RB Leipzig
Real Madrid		40.5%
32.8%		26.7%
+455
-175
+450
-175
1
1		-1.57644-1.62745-1.32114
FC Copenhagen
Manchester City		2.7%
89.8%		7.4%
+1800
-675
+1850
-715
1
3		-0.17227-0.16983-0.10740
Lazio
Bayern Munich		7.6%
79.6%		12.8%
+875
-355
+900
-373
0
3		-0.28190-0.28022-0.22863
Arsenal
Porto		33.3%
38.7%		28.0%
-136
+484
-157
+450
0
1		-1.75314-1.74360-0.95018
Barcelona
Napoli		46.7%
27.4%		25.9%
+153
+183
+150
+180
1
1		-1.28237-1.29474-1.35093
Dortmund
PSV Eindhoven		74.7%
10.4%		14.8%
+255
+112
+254
+110
1
1		-1.38027-1.36633-1.90778
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.14725 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.15987 
DRatings30-2-1 (0.167)0-1.61896
-0.47171
-0.45909

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.