Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

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Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Bayern Munich		23.8%
53.3%		22.8%

+310
-135
0
2		-0.58066-0.62888
Dortmund
Chelsea		30.9%
44.3%		24.8%
+406
-142
+385
-140
0
2		-0.55537-0.57716-0.81387
Club Brugge
Benfica		29.3%
43.3%		27.4%
+750
-252
+780
-288
1
5		-0.35278-0.34339-0.83686
Manchester City
RB Leipzig		49.6%
25.8%		24.6%
+101
+310
-110
+335
1
1		-1.31000-1.31189-1.40312
Real Madrid
Liverpool		21.3%
54.8%		23.9%
+225
+127
+213
+127
5
2		-1.20434-1.18189-1.54613
Chelsea
Dortmund		35.4%
38.8%		25.8%
+223
+138
+220
+130
0
1		-0.88902-0.87101-0.94732
Benfica
Club Brugge		34.9%
36.5%		28.5%
-116
+389
-120
+360
2
0		-0.63856-0.64596-1.05171
Bayern Munich
Paris Saint-Germain		43.9%
31.1%		25.0%
+180
+137
+140
+185
1
0		-1.07435-0.91257-0.82307
Dortmund
FC Copenhagen		78.8%
7.8%		13.4%
-134
+380
-140
+375
1
1		-1.45397-1.43868-2.00909
Paris Saint-Germain
Juventus		48.0%
26.7%		25.4%
-169
+474
-170
+450
2
1		-0.48589-0.50569-0.73476
Sevilla
Manchester City		10.4%
72.0%		17.6%
+925
-325
+900
-335
1
3		-0.29412-0.30430-0.32871
Dinamo Zagreb
Chelsea		15.9%
64.5%		19.6%
+1500
-482
+1350
-485
1
2		-0.21674-0.23261-0.43837
Celtic
Real Madrid		9.0%
75.8%		15.1%
+1053
-385
+1150
-440
1
5		-0.25503-0.24686-0.27653
Napoli
Liverpool		15.2%
64.4%		20.4%
+275
-103
+267
-110
0
2		-0.69453-0.68718-0.44044
Barcelona
Viktoria Plzen		76.5%
8.3%		15.2%
-290
+843
-285
+800
4
2		-0.32563-0.34176-0.26844
Atlético Madrid
Porto		37.6%
32.6%		29.7%
+166
+192
+165
+181
1
2		-1.09189-1.06880-1.12012
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.14725 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.15987 
DRatings30-2-1 (0.167)0-1.61896
-0.47171
-0.45909

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.