Napoli at Manchester City

Updated

Napoli

10.0%16.5%73.5%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.37
0Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 1-3 at Barcelona+335
T 1-1 vs Barcelona+180
L 2-4 at Real Madrid+345
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+165
L 0-2 at Liverpool+267
Manchester City
Money Line
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+275
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+100
W 1-3 vs Club Brugge-460
L 2-4 at Paris Saint-Germain+175
L 0-2 at Juventus-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+405-+450+465-+465+465-
Manchester City-158--172-167--167-167-
Draw+300-+315+330-+330+330-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+400-+470-+360+465+470-
Manchester City-150--173--175-170-170-
Draw+300-+320-+265+310+320-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Manchester City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +460 to +450
Manchester City ML moved from -168 to -174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Manchester City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +412 to +400
Manchester City ML moved from -160 to -170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-114-o2¾-125o3+103-o3+103o2¾-125-
Underu2¾-106-u2¾+105u3-123-u3-123u3-123-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-150o2½-150-o2½-140o3+105o2½-140-
Underu2½+120u2½+130u2½+130-u2½+110u3-125u3-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.42%
Exactly 221.49%
Exactly 417.43%
Exactly 65.66%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.78%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.88%
Exactly 72.52%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 047.25%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 213.28%
Exactly 33.32%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 09.35%
Exactly 122.15%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 412.29%
Exactly 55.83%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 70.78%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.58%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.07%
Exactly 311.85%
Exactly 51.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 070.67%
Exactly 124.53%
Exactly 24.26%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 033.37%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.10%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals2.65%
Wins by 3+ goals0.51%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals50.44%
Wins by 3+ goals28.85%
Wins by 4+ goals13.84%
Wins by 5+ goals5.63%
Wins by 6+ goals1.95%
Wins by 7+ goals0.56%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal7.25%
Wins by 2 goals2.14%
Wins by 3 goals0.45%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal22.96%
Wins by 2 goals21.59%
Wins by 3 goals15.01%
Wins by 4 goals8.20%
Wins by 5 goals3.68%
Wins by 6 goals1.39%
Wins by 7 goals0.45%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.58%4.42%
1.581.81%18.19%
2.560.32%39.68%
3.537.96%62.04%
4.520.53%79.47%
5.59.65%90.35%
6.53.99%96.01%
7.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.75%47.25%
1.517.33%82.67%
2.54.05%95.95%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.65%9.35%
1.568.50%31.50%
2.542.25%57.75%
3.521.51%78.49%
4.59.22%90.78%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.42%23.58%
1.542.35%57.65%
2.517.74%82.26%
3.55.89%94.11%
4.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Manchester City
Score012345
0
4.42%
10.47%
12.40%
9.80%
5.81%
2.75%
1
3.31%
7.85%
9.30%
7.35%
4.35%
2.06%
2
1.24%
2.94%
3.49%
2.75%
1.63%
0.77%
3
0.31%
0.74%
0.87%
0.69%
0.41%
0.19%
Napoli
1-03.31%
2-01.24%
2-12.94%
3-00.31%
3-10.74%
3-20.87%
Draw
0-04.42%
1-17.85%
2-23.49%
3-30.69%
Manchester City
0-110.47%
0-212.40%
1-29.30%
0-39.80%
1-37.35%
2-32.75%
0-45.81%
1-44.35%
2-41.63%
3-40.41%
0-52.75%
1-52.06%
2-50.77%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Manchester City
Score012345
0
23.58%
25.88%
14.20%
5.20%
1.43%
0.31%
1
8.19%
8.98%
4.93%
1.80%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.42%
1.56%
0.86%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.16%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Napoli
1-08.19%
2-01.42%
2-11.56%
3-00.16%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-023.58%
1-18.98%
2-20.86%
Manchester City
0-125.88%
0-214.20%
1-24.93%
0-35.20%
1-31.80%
2-30.31%
0-41.43%
1-40.49%
0-50.31%
1-50.11%