Dortmund at Manchester City

Updated

Dortmund

14.9%18.9%66.2%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.23
1Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-3 vs FC Copenhagen-325
W 0-5 vs Besiktas-450
L 1-3 at Sporting CP+220
L 3-1 vs Ajax+195
L 0-4 at Ajax+210
Manchester City
Money Line
W 4-0 at Sevilla-325
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+110
W 3-4 vs Real Madrid-205
T 0-0 at Atlético Madrid-132
W 0-1 vs Atlético Madrid-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+1000+1190+1100+1250+1293+1250+1293-
Manchester City-400-457-500-475-618-475-457-
Draw+525+663+600+640+684+640+684-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+1150-+1250--+1200+1250-
Manchester City-525--510---530-510-
Draw+660-+630--+650+650-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 50.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +1178 to +1165
Manchester City ML moved from -451 to -457

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 40.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +1200 to +1100
Manchester City ML moved from -490 to -530

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3½-120o3¾-102o3¾-102-o3¾-102o3½-120-
Underu3½-122u3½+105u3¾-118u3¾-118-u3¾-118u3¾-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½-120o3½-120-o3½-130o3½-120o3½-120-
Underu3½+100u3½+100u3½+100-u3½+100u3½+100u3½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%
 
No45.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.14%
Exactly 221.00%
Exactly 417.74%
Exactly 65.99%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.19%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 511.29%
Exactly 72.73%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 038.47%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.56%
Exactly 35.59%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 010.77%
Exactly 124.00%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 319.86%
Exactly 411.07%
Exactly 54.93%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 70.58%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.90%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 44.51%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 312.22%
Exactly 51.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 064.25%
Exactly 128.42%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 035.64%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.97%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals4.86%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals42.91%
Wins by 3+ goals23.08%
Wins by 4+ goals10.40%
Wins by 5+ goals3.98%
Wins by 6+ goals1.29%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal9.96%
Wins by 2 goals3.64%
Wins by 3 goals0.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.24%
Wins by 2 goals19.83%
Wins by 3 goals12.68%
Wins by 4 goals6.43%
Wins by 5 goals2.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.95%
Wins by 7 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.86%4.14%
1.582.67%17.33%
2.561.67%38.33%
3.539.39%60.61%
4.521.65%78.35%
5.510.36%89.64%
6.54.36%95.64%
7.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.53%38.47%
1.524.78%75.22%
2.57.23%92.77%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.23%10.77%
1.565.23%34.77%
2.538.49%61.51%
3.518.63%81.37%
4.57.56%92.44%
5.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.10%22.90%
1.543.35%56.65%
2.518.47%81.53%
3.56.24%93.76%
4.51.74%98.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Manchester City
Score012345
0
4.14%
9.23%
10.29%
7.64%
4.26%
1.90%
1
3.96%
8.82%
9.83%
7.30%
4.07%
1.81%
2
1.89%
4.21%
4.69%
3.49%
1.94%
0.87%
3
0.60%
1.34%
1.50%
1.11%
0.62%
0.28%
4
0.14%
0.32%
0.36%
0.27%
0.15%
0.07%
Dortmund
1-03.96%
2-01.89%
2-14.21%
3-00.60%
3-11.34%
3-21.50%
4-00.14%
4-10.32%
4-20.36%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-04.14%
1-18.82%
2-24.69%
3-31.11%
4-40.15%
Manchester City
0-19.23%
0-210.29%
1-29.83%
0-37.64%
1-37.30%
2-33.49%
0-44.26%
1-44.07%
2-41.94%
3-40.62%
0-51.90%
1-51.81%
2-50.87%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Manchester City
Score012345
0
22.90%
23.63%
12.19%
4.19%
1.08%
0.22%
1
10.13%
10.45%
5.39%
1.85%
0.48%
0.10%
2
2.24%
2.31%
1.19%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.33%
0.34%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-010.13%
2-02.24%
2-12.31%
3-00.33%
3-10.34%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-022.90%
1-110.45%
2-21.19%
Manchester City
0-123.63%
0-212.19%
1-25.39%
0-34.19%
1-31.85%
2-30.41%
0-41.08%
1-40.48%
2-40.11%
0-50.22%