Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Brondby
Aarhus
31.4%
42.3%
26.2%
+400
-137
+390
-145
0
0
-1.39489-1.41198-1.33800
Sonderjyske
Nordsjaelland
29.3%
45.4%
25.3%
+224
+109
+220
+110
0
2
-0.77975-0.79248-0.78994
Silkeborg
Randers
17.6%
62.3%
20.2%
+370
-123
+360
-125
3
0
-1.58158-1.57557-1.73886
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
52.0%
23.5%
24.4%
-108
+290
+105
+250
1
1
-1.33298-1.33094-1.41055
FC Copenhagen
Odense
50.9%
23.9%
25.2%
+131
+195
-100
+250
1
2
-1.11627-1.30383-1.43066
Nordsjaelland
Midtjylland
14.9%
65.4%
19.7%
+525
-227
+590
-250
1
0
-1.87627-1.98173-1.90367
Randers
FC Copenhagen
22.2%
54.0%
23.8%
+500
-182
+450
-175
2
1
-1.83033-1.75423-1.50395
Brondby
Midtjylland
24.3%
51.2%
24.5%
+500
-198
+455
-185
0
0
-1.61556-1.55433-1.40695
Odense
Sonderjyske
32.4%
40.5%
27.1%
+208
+131
+210
+120
0
1
-0.87199-0.83829-0.90498
Sonderjyske
Brondby
18.5%
60.3%
21.2%
+340
-111
+315
-110
0
0
-1.31156-1.30203-1.55334
Midtjylland
Silkeborg
73.0%
10.6%
16.4%
-200
+500
-205
+475
4
0
-0.43826-0.44621-0.31512
FC Copenhagen
Odense
50.9%
23.9%
25.2%
-108
+270
-110
+275
2
2
-1.40589-1.39707-1.37856
Silkeborg
Sonderjyske
21.9%
55.5%
22.6%
+280
-106
+270
-110
1
2
-0.69800-0.69589-0.58947
Midtjylland
Odense
60.2%
17.6%
22.2%
-132
+325
-135
+330
4
1
-0.61096-0.60398-0.50800
Nordsjaelland
FC Copenhagen
20.7%
56.4%
22.8%
+305
-125
+290
-120
2
1
-1.44694-1.41153-1.57422
Odense
Aarhus
17.6%
60.6%
21.8%
+400
-143
+335
-130
1
2
-0.56208-0.62077-0.50053
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-2-1 (0.167)0-1.27109 
Sportsbooks30-2-1 (0.167)0-1.21319 
DRatings30-2-1 (0.167)0-1.36858
-0.09749
-0.15539

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.