Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Randers
Brondby
22.9%
54.1%
23.0%
+250
+125
+240
+110
0
0
-1.23086-1.31763-1.47050
FC Copenhagen
Midtjylland
24.8%
49.1%
26.1%
+216
+125
+205
+120
1
2
-0.84889-0.83637-0.71080
Sonderjyske
Nordsjaelland
29.3%
45.4%
25.3%
+310
-121
+310
-120
1
2
-0.64909-0.65406-0.78994
Sonderjyske
FC Copenhagen
18.0%
59.9%
22.2%
+410
-159
+440
-170
2
0
-1.67890-1.73528-1.71552
Aarhus
Randers
45.6%
28.5%
25.9%
+108
+240
+105
+260
2
1
-0.79120-0.76787-0.78423
Silkeborg
Nordsjaelland
19.0%
60.4%
20.6%
+340
-149
+355
-150
0
5
-0.56266-0.56184-0.50473
Nordsjaelland
Midtjylland
14.9%
65.4%
19.7%
+290
-118
+315
-130
0
6
-0.65745-0.61941-0.42417
Randers
Silkeborg
53.2%
23.8%
23.0%
+141
+174
+150
+165
0
0
-1.35728-1.34481-1.47111
FC Copenhagen
Aarhus
31.6%
40.6%
27.8%
+166
+153
+170
+145
0
2
-0.97604-0.94727-0.90167
Odense
Randers
27.4%
47.2%
25.4%
+200
+120
+215
+125
0
0
-1.31323-1.29927-1.36932
Midtjylland
Sonderjyske
60.4%
17.6%
22.0%
-169
+410
-155
+375
1
2
-1.67713-1.60779-1.73670
Brondby
FC Copenhagen
31.9%
41.5%
26.5%
+325
-120
+250
+105
0
1
-0.66303-0.76787-0.87839
Aarhus
Silkeborg
66.2%
14.7%
19.1%
-118
+260
-105
+270
2
0
-0.69607-0.72044-0.41260
Nordsjaelland
Brondby
21.4%
56.7%
21.9%
+235
+114
+230
+110
0
2
-0.80721-0.79025-0.56680
Sonderjyske
Aarhus
17.6%
60.8%
21.6%
+460
-189
+445
-180
3
2
-1.77149-1.74543-1.73829
Midtjylland
Randers
54.4%
21.8%
23.8%
-149
+380
-160
+390
2
0
-0.56289-0.53368-0.60912
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-2-1 (0.167)0-1.27109 
Sportsbooks30-2-1 (0.167)0-1.21319 
DRatings30-2-1 (0.167)0-1.36858
-0.09749
-0.15539

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.