Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aarhus
FC Copenhagen		32.7%
39.4%		27.8%
+325
-119
+360
-125
3
2		-1.50553-1.57557-1.11639
Midtjylland
Aarhus		39.9%
32.2%		28.0%
+178
+141
+170
+145
0
0		-1.34220-1.35600-1.27450
Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske		36.4%
36.8%		26.8%
+133
+187
+105
+240
2
3		-1.10461-1.27122-0.99994
Silkeborg
Randers		17.6%
62.3%		20.2%
+280
-110
+290
-115
0
1		-0.70229-0.67548-0.47395
Sonderjyske
Midtjylland		12.9%
68.2%		18.9%
+420
-185
+435
-190
2
6		-0.47867-0.47205-0.38236
Brondby
Nordsjaelland		47.4%
28.3%		24.3%
+113
+215
+115
+220
1
0		-0.80176-0.81577-0.74684
Randers
Aarhus		21.8%
54.8%		23.4%
+295
-112
+300
-110
2
1		-1.43498-1.43658-1.52427
Silkeborg
Brondby		11.1%
73.2%		15.7%
+385
-152
+380
-145
0
3		-0.55466-0.57346-0.31178
Odense
Midtjylland		12.9%
68.0%		19.1%
+520
-208
+515
-215
3
3		-1.59573-1.62903-1.65360
Aarhus
Sonderjyske		52.0%
23.5%		24.4%
-109
+305
-105
+310
1
1		-1.28442-1.27279-1.41055
Silkeborg
Randers		17.6%
62.3%		20.2%

+190
+140
3
1		-1.11480-1.73886
Nordsjaelland
FC Copenhagen		20.7%
56.4%		22.8%
+550
-225
+560
-230
0
3		-0.40548-0.40836-0.57183
Randers
Midtjylland		16.1%
62.9%		20.9%
+400
-155
+360
-155
2
3		-0.51388-0.54659-0.46294
Brondby
Aarhus		31.4%
42.3%		26.2%
-110
+260
-110
+270
3
2		-0.70302-0.69589-1.15731
Aalborg
Lyngby		59.4%
18.6%		22.0%
+250
+100
+220
+110
1
3		-0.72824-0.79248-1.68260
Midtjylland
Brondby		42.0%
31.3%		26.6%
+196
+120
+200
+120
2
1		-1.13283-1.14841-0.86667
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.72884 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.74360 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67051
0.05833
0.07309

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.