Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Midtjylland
Aarhus		39.9%
32.2%		28.0%
+225
+126
+250
+110
1
1		-1.25649-1.28884-1.27450
Brondby
FC Copenhagen		31.9%
41.5%		26.5%
+280
+103
+310
-110
2
1		-1.38370-1.45921-1.14219
Lyngby
Aalborg		13.6%
67.5%		18.9%
+225
+142
+230
+140
2
2		-1.19600-1.15031-1.66374
Aarhus
Brondby		33.9%
39.3%		26.8%
+220
+128
+235
+120
1
2		-0.86841-0.83873-0.93491
FC Copenhagen
Nordsjaelland		47.3%
27.3%		25.4%
+120
+220
+125
+200
1
0		-0.83229-0.86138-0.74775
Lyngby
Silkeborg		25.9%
49.9%		24.1%
+380
-140
+365
-135
1
2		-0.57982-0.60565-0.69421
Midtjylland
Randers		54.4%
21.8%		23.8%
+100
+245
+115
+220
1
2		-1.29000-1.21345-1.52450
Randers
FC Copenhagen		22.2%
54.0%		23.8%
+380
-132
+390
-140
0
1		-0.60029-0.58834-0.61706
Brondby
Midtjylland		24.3%
51.2%		24.5%
+185
+135
+180
+140
2
0		-1.08948-1.07993-1.41305
Nordsjaelland
Aarhus		20.3%
57.4%		22.3%
+270
+105
+255
+105
0
2		-0.76466-0.76776-0.55460
Silkeborg
Sonderjyske		21.9%
55.5%		22.6%
-105
+265
+100
+260
1
2		-1.35313-1.33139-0.58947
Nordsjaelland
Lyngby		59.2%
19.3%		21.5%
-120
+320
-120
+310
0
1		-1.48074-1.45891-1.64667
Aalborg
Sonderjyske		37.0%
35.5%		27.5%
+185
+149
+195
+140
3
0		-1.08880-1.13038-0.99501
Silkeborg
Brondby		11.1%
73.2%		15.7%
+410
-150
+400
-155
2
2		-1.45017-1.47076-1.85075
Randers
Midtjylland		16.1%
62.9%		20.9%
+300
-114
+315
-115
2
4		-0.68490-0.67433-0.46294
Brondby
Randers		44.8%
30.0%		25.3%
+130
+235
+145
+210
2
4		-1.24911-1.17847-1.20517
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.