Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Aalborg
FC Copenhagen 		21.4%
54.6%		23.9%
+900
-375
+925
-375
0.97
1.71		2.68
o3¼-115
u3¼+100

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Midtjylland
Aarhus		39.8%
34.3%		25.9%
-108
+306
-115
+330
4
1		-0.70156-0.67368-0.92148
FC Copenhagen
Brondby		35.3%
39.8%		24.9%
+128
+220
+135
+205
3
1		-0.86270-0.90503-1.04180
Horsens
Sonderjyske		26.7%
50.5%		22.8%
+247
+123
+240
+120
3
2		-1.28392-1.27418-1.31935
Nordsjaelland
Randers		33.9%
42.4%		23.8%
+255
+102
+255
+105
4
3		-1.31785-1.31684-1.08291
Vejle
Odense		34.0%
41.2%		24.8%
+250
+123
+265
+115
1
0		-1.29558-1.34504-1.07999
Vejle
Lyngby		49.0%
28.1%		22.9%
+200
+142
+210
+140
0
0		-1.03871-1.05388-0.99104
Brondby
Midtjylland		28.6%
47.2%		24.2%
+340
-106
+350
-115
0
1		-0.69565-0.67566-0.75069
Randers
FC Copenhagen		27.2%
49.4%		23.3%
+365
-120
+260
-105
1
2		-0.63089-0.72081-0.70445
Sonderjyske
Aalborg		31.1%
43.2%		25.7%
+245
+126
+255
+110
2
3		-0.84924-0.79264-0.83958
Aarhus
Nordsjaelland		45.0%
30.4%		24.6%
-127
+335
-125
+320
0
2		-1.51304-1.48391-1.19162
Odense
Horsens		43.1%
30.8%		26.0%
+117
+260
+115
+245
1
1		-1.06087-1.04985-1.00857
Odense
Aalborg		31.0%
43.1%		25.9%
+216
+135
+215
+130
2
0		-1.18192-1.19690-0.56340
Sonderjyske
Nordsjaelland		32.0%
42.8%		25.2%
+174
+156
+170
+150
1
2		-0.96988-0.96703-0.84751
Lyngby
Horsens		29.7%
45.0%		25.3%
+167
+169
+160
+175
2
1		-1.01758-1.00550-0.59829
FC Copenhagen
Randers		42.4%
31.5%		26.1%
-104
+285
-105
+280
1
2		-1.39433-1.38314-1.15483
Vejle
Midtjylland		19.6%
63.8%		16.6%
+500
-161
+490
-160
0
5		-0.52227-0.53577-0.45012
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.38260 
Sportsbooks30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.40130 
DRatings30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.62632
-0.24373
-0.22502

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.