Milton Keynes Dons at Watford

Updated 88 days ago

06:45 PM • Aug 13, 2024

Milton Keynes Dons

14.4%22.0%63.5%

WinDrawWatford Win

0.73Projected Goals 1.84

0Final Score 5

Watford

Last 4 Games

Milton Keynes Dons		Money Line
L 2-0	8/08 vs Wycombe Wanderers	+125
W 0-2	11/08 vs Morecambe	-150
W 2-0	8/23 at Watford	+500
L 0-5	7/31 at Bournemouth	+375

Watford		Money Line
L 3-4	8/08 at Stevenage	-145
L 2-0	8/23 vs Milton Keynes Dons	-220
L 3-1	9/21 vs Stoke City	-120
W 0-1	8/24 vs Crystal Palace	+150

Money Line Analysis

:6.4%:11.2%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Milton Keynes Dons	+360	-	+550	+490	-	+490	+550	-
Watford	-189	-	-235	-256	-	-256	-235	-
Draw	+300	-	+370	+370	-	+370	+370	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Milton Keynes Dons	+365	-	-	-	+550	-	+550	-
Watford	+200	-	-	-	-300	-	-300	-
Draw	+310	-	-	-	+350	-	+350	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Milton Keynes Dons: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Milton Keynes Dons: 20.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Milton Keynes Dons: 0.0%

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Milton Keynes Dons: 0.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Milton Keynes Dons ML moved from +600 to +55008/13/2024
06:24 PM

Watford ML moved from -250 to -26008/13/2024
05:54 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Milton Keynes Dons: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Milton Keynes Dons: 20.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Milton Keynes Dons: 0.0%

Watford: 40.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Milton Keynes Dons: 0.0%

Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milton Keynes Dons ML

Watford ML moved from -200 to -30008/13/2024
06:14 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:4.1%:6.5%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-109	-	o3-115	o3-117	-	o3-117	o3-115	-
Under	u2¾-111	-	u3-105	u3-103	-	u3-103	u3-103	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3+100	-	-	-	o3-115	-	o3-115	-
Under	u3-130	-	-	-	u3-115	-	u3-115	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.8%


No	56.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.63%
Exactly 2	25.26%
Exactly 4	13.93%
Exactly 6	3.07%
Exactly 8	0.36%


Exactly 1	19.64%
Exactly 3	21.66%
Exactly 5	7.17%
Exactly 7	1.13%
Exactly 9	0.10%

Exact Goals Scored - Milton Keynes Dons
Exactly 0	47.84%
Exactly 1	35.27%
Exactly 2	13.00%
Exactly 3	3.20%
Exactly 4	0.59%

Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 0	15.96%
Exactly 1	29.28%
Exactly 2	26.87%
Exactly 3	16.44%
Exactly 4	7.54%
Exactly 5	2.77%
Exactly 6	0.85%
Exactly 7	0.22%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.39%
Exactly 2	21.56%
Exactly 4	2.55%
Exactly 6	0.12%


Exactly 1	36.20%
Exactly 3	8.56%
Exactly 5	0.61%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milton Keynes Dons
Exactly 0	71.08%
Exactly 1	24.27%
Exactly 2	4.14%
Exactly 3	0.47%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 0	42.75%
Exactly 1	36.33%
Exactly 2	15.44%
Exactly 3	4.37%
Exactly 4	0.93%
Exactly 5	0.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milton Keynes Dons
Wins by 2+ goals	3.95%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.78%

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals	37.59%
Wins by 3+ goals	17.86%
Wins by 4+ goals	6.95%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.24%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.59%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Milton Keynes Dons

Watford

Milton Keynes Dons
Wins by 1 goal	10.39%
Wins by 2 goals	3.17%
Wins by 3 goals	0.68%

Watford
Wins by 1 goal	25.88%
Wins by 2 goals	19.73%
Wins by 3 goals	10.91%
Wins by 4 goals	4.70%
Wins by 5 goals	1.65%
Wins by 6 goals	0.48%
Wins by 7 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.37%	7.63%
1.5	72.73%	27.27%
2.5	47.47%	52.53%
3.5	25.81%	74.19%
4.5	11.87%	88.13%
5.5	4.71%	95.29%
6.5	1.63%	98.37%

Total Goals Milton Keynes Dons Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	52.16%	47.84%
1.5	16.89%	83.11%
2.5	3.88%	96.12%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	84.04%	15.96%
1.5	54.76%	45.24%
2.5	27.89%	72.11%
3.5	11.45%	88.55%
4.5	3.90%	96.10%
5.5	1.13%	98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.61%	30.39%
1.5	33.42%	66.58%
2.5	11.86%	88.14%
3.5	3.30%	96.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milton Keynes Dons

Watford

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.63%	14.01%	12.86%	7.87%	3.61%	1.32%
1	5.63%	10.33%	9.48%	5.80%	2.66%	0.98%
2	2.07%	3.81%	3.49%	2.14%	0.98%	0.36%
3	0.51%	0.94%	0.86%	0.53%	0.24%	0.09%

Milton Keynes Dons
1-0	5.63%
2-0	2.07%
2-1	3.81%
3-0	0.51%
3-1	0.94%
3-2	0.86%

Draw
0-0	7.63%
1-1	10.33%
2-2	3.49%
3-3	0.53%

Watford
0-1	14.01%
0-2	12.86%
1-2	9.48%
0-3	7.87%
1-3	5.80%
2-3	2.14%
0-4	3.61%
1-4	2.66%
2-4	0.98%
3-4	0.24%
0-5	1.32%
1-5	0.98%
2-5	0.36%

Correct Score - First Half

Milton Keynes Dons

Watford

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	30.39%	25.82%	10.97%	3.11%	0.66%	0.11%
1	10.37%	8.82%	3.75%	1.06%	0.23%	0.04%
2	1.77%	1.50%	0.64%	0.18%	0.04%	0.01%
3	0.20%	0.17%	0.07%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%

Milton Keynes Dons
1-0	10.37%
2-0	1.77%
2-1	1.50%
3-0	0.20%
3-1	0.17%

Draw
0-0	30.39%
1-1	8.82%
2-2	0.64%

Watford
0-1	25.82%
0-2	10.97%
1-2	3.75%
0-3	3.11%
1-3	1.06%
2-3	0.18%
0-4	0.66%
1-4	0.23%
0-5	0.11%

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