EFL Cup Predictions

Updated 35 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/23/2025 07:00 PM	Southampton Liverpool	12.5% 69.6%	17.9%	+900 -400 +1250 -500	1 2	-0.27560-0.23136	-0.36307
09/23/2025 06:45 PM	Cambridge United Fulham	6.5% 79.4%	14.1%	+2100 -1111 +2500 -900	0 1	-0.14908-0.15375	-0.23080
09/23/2025 06:45 PM	Wycombe Wanderers Wigan Athletic	48.6% 25.8%	25.5%	+210 +130 +210 +140	2 0	-1.19892-1.18185	-0.72068
09/23/2025 06:45 PM	Cardiff City Burnley	16.2% 62.1%	21.8%	+300 -110 +290 -105	2 1	-1.44409-1.41005	-1.82294
09/17/2025 07:00 PM	Nottingham Forest Swansea City	19.6% 55.5%	24.8%	-148 +380 -140 +355	2 3	-1.62831-1.56686	-0.58823
09/16/2025 07:00 PM	Aston Villa Brentford	49.3% 25.8%	24.9%	-108 +250 +105 +275	2 4	-1.32193-1.33587	-1.35518
09/16/2025 07:00 PM	Millwall Crystal Palace	13.7% 64.4%	21.8%	+900 -300 +950 -320	2 4	-0.33647-0.31340	-0.43944
09/16/2025 06:45 PM	Grimsby Town Sheffield Wednesday	7.5% 77.7%	14.9%	+120 +215 +115 +225	1 0	-0.86512-0.83434	-2.59642
08/27/2025 07:00 PM	Manchester United Grimsby Town	93.0% 1.7%	5.3%	-909 +1200	11 12	-2.65314	-4.09535
08/27/2025 06:45 PM	Bristol City Fulham	18.0% 58.7%	23.2%	+550 -233 +475 -240	0 2	-0.42564-0.47034	-0.53207
08/27/2025 06:45 PM	Mansfield Town Everton	2.6% 90.6%	6.7%	+1000 -500	0 2	-0.26321	-0.09842
08/26/2025 07:00 PM	Leeds United Sheffield Wednesday	65.3% 14.1%	20.6%	-1429 +2300	0 3	-3.25140	-1.96134
08/26/2025 06:45 PM	Derby County Burnley	12.2% 67.6%	20.2%	+575 -233 +560 -295	1 2	-0.43445-0.41494	-0.39143
08/26/2025 06:45 PM	Rotherham United Barnsley	34.6% 37.5%	27.9%	+245 +102 +290 -150	1 2	-0.76389-0.63339	-0.98067
08/26/2025 06:45 PM	Brentford Bournemouth	34.9% 36.0%	29.1%	+265 -110 +285 -150	2 0	-1.36759-1.47028	-1.05160
08/26/2025 06:45 PM	Coventry City Millwall	27.5% 43.7%	28.8%	+115 +215 +115 +185	1 2	-1.22129-1.17257	-0.82862

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.