Stoke City at Southampton

Updated

Stoke City

10.0%16.1%73.8%
WinDrawSouthampton Win
0.78Projected Goals 2.44
2Final Score 3

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fleetwood Town-200
W 5-0 at Middlesbrough+310
W 2-0 at Carlisle United-180
L 0-2 at Bournemouth+380
W 1-6 vs Rotherham United-245
Southampton
Money Line
W 6-5 at Everton+210
W 5-3 at Cardiff City-160
L 1-3 at Gillingham-220
L 1-2 at Newcastle United+770
L 1-0 vs Newcastle United+475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+460-+1000+950-+950+1000-
Southampton-190--435-455--455-435-
Draw+320-+500+510-+510+510-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+525-+950-+625+1000+1000-
Southampton-205--475--350-400-350-
Draw+355-+525-+375+525+525-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Southampton ML moved from -420 to -480

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +1000 to +950
Southampton ML moved from -385 to -500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120-o3¼+100o3¼+103-o3¼+103o3¼+103-
Underu2¾+100-u3¼-120u3¼-123-u3¼-123u3¼-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105-o3-135-o3-125o3-120o3-120-
Underu3-125-u3+115-u3-105u3+100u3+115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3-145
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.99%
Exactly 220.71%
Exactly 417.90%
Exactly 66.19%
Exactly 81.15%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.86%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 511.53%
Exactly 72.85%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 045.71%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 214.01%
Exactly 33.66%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 08.73%
Exactly 121.29%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 321.09%
Exactly 412.86%
Exactly 56.27%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.51%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 44.64%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.57%
Exactly 312.44%
Exactly 51.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 069.59%
Exactly 125.23%
Exactly 24.57%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 032.34%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals2.81%
Wins by 3+ goals0.60%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals51.25%
Wins by 3+ goals29.79%
Wins by 4+ goals14.57%
Wins by 5+ goals6.06%
Wins by 6+ goals2.15%
Wins by 7+ goals0.63%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Southampton
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal7.22%
Wins by 2 goals2.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal22.49%
Wins by 2 goals21.46%
Wins by 3 goals15.22%
Wins by 4 goals8.51%
Wins by 5 goals3.91%
Wins by 6 goals1.52%
Wins by 7 goals0.50%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.01%3.99%
1.583.15%16.85%
2.562.45%37.55%
3.540.22%59.78%
4.522.31%77.69%
5.510.78%89.22%
6.54.59%95.41%
7.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.29%45.71%
1.518.51%81.49%
2.54.50%95.50%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.27%8.73%
1.569.98%30.02%
2.544.02%55.98%
3.522.93%77.07%
4.510.07%89.93%
5.53.80%96.20%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.49%22.51%
1.543.93%56.07%
2.518.90%81.10%
3.56.46%93.54%
4.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Southampton
Score012345
0
3.99%
9.73%
11.86%
9.64%
5.88%
2.87%
1
3.12%
7.62%
9.29%
7.55%
4.60%
2.24%
2
1.22%
2.98%
3.64%
2.95%
1.80%
0.88%
3
0.32%
0.78%
0.95%
0.77%
0.47%
0.23%
Stoke City
1-03.12%
2-01.22%
2-12.98%
3-00.32%
3-10.78%
3-20.95%
Draw
0-03.99%
1-17.62%
2-23.64%
3-30.77%
Southampton
0-19.73%
0-211.86%
1-29.29%
0-39.64%
1-37.55%
2-32.95%
0-45.88%
1-44.60%
2-41.80%
3-40.47%
0-52.87%
1-52.24%
2-50.88%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Southampton
Score012345
0
22.51%
25.41%
14.34%
5.40%
1.52%
0.34%
1
8.16%
9.21%
5.20%
1.96%
0.55%
0.12%
2
1.48%
1.67%
0.94%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-08.16%
2-01.48%
2-11.67%
3-00.18%
3-10.20%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-022.51%
1-19.21%
2-20.94%
Southampton
0-125.41%
0-214.34%
1-25.20%
0-35.40%
1-31.96%
2-30.35%
0-41.52%
1-40.55%
2-40.10%
0-50.34%
1-50.12%