Stoke City at Bournemouth

Updated

Stoke City

21.7%24.9%53.3%
Stoke City WinDrawBournemouth Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.61
1Final Score 2

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Luton Town+110
T 2-2 vs Birmingham City-125
T 2-2 at Nottingham Forest+275
W 0-3 vs Swansea City+110
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+220
Bournemouth
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Birmingham City-225
W 1-0 at Barnsley-185
L 1-0 vs Hull City-200
L 2-3 at Luton Town+140
W 0-3 vs Cardiff City-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+400+417+380+330+422+330+422+420.5
Bournemouth-160-128-135-130-152-130-128-121.2
Draw+280+264+260+255+278+255+278+284.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+380---+350+400+400+420.5
Bournemouth-140----160-150-150-121.2
Draw+290---+240+295+295+284.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +320 to +310
Bournemouth ML moved from -140 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Bournemouth ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+101o2½+100o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+101o2½+104
Underu2½-105u2½-116u2½-120u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-116u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-120 to u2½-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.89%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 413.67%
Exactly 62.94%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.04%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 56.94%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 039.48%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.05%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 020.00%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 313.90%
Exactly 45.59%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.86%
Exactly 221.33%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 065.03%
Exactly 127.98%
Exactly 26.02%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 047.46%
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 213.18%
Exactly 33.27%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals7.33%
Wins by 3+ goals1.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals28.39%
Wins by 3+ goals12.01%
Wins by 4+ goals4.14%
Wins by 5+ goals1.18%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Bournemouth
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal14.38%
Wins by 2 goals5.46%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal24.90%
Wins by 2 goals16.38%
Wins by 3 goals7.87%
Wins by 4 goals2.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.11%7.89%
1.572.06%27.94%
2.546.62%53.38%
3.525.08%74.92%
4.511.41%88.59%
5.54.47%95.53%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.52%39.48%
1.523.83%76.17%
2.56.78%93.22%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.00%20.00%
1.547.82%52.18%
2.521.91%78.09%
3.58.01%91.99%
4.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.14%30.86%
1.532.85%67.15%
2.511.53%88.47%
3.53.17%96.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
7.89%
12.71%
10.23%
5.49%
2.21%
0.71%
1
7.34%
11.81%
9.50%
5.10%
2.05%
0.66%
2
3.41%
5.49%
4.42%
2.37%
0.95%
0.31%
3
1.06%
1.70%
1.37%
0.73%
0.30%
0.10%
4
0.25%
0.40%
0.32%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-07.34%
2-03.41%
2-15.49%
3-01.06%
3-11.70%
3-21.37%
4-00.25%
4-10.40%
4-20.32%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.89%
1-111.81%
2-24.42%
3-30.73%
Bournemouth
0-112.71%
0-210.23%
1-29.50%
0-35.49%
1-35.10%
2-32.37%
0-42.21%
1-42.05%
2-40.95%
3-40.30%
0-50.71%
1-50.66%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
30.86%
23.00%
8.57%
2.13%
0.40%
1
13.28%
9.90%
3.69%
0.92%
0.17%
2
2.86%
2.13%
0.79%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.41%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-013.28%
2-02.86%
2-12.13%
3-00.41%
3-10.31%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.86%
1-19.90%
2-20.79%
Bournemouth
0-123.00%
0-28.57%
1-23.69%
0-32.13%
1-30.92%
2-30.20%
0-40.40%
1-40.17%