Stoke City at Nottingham Forest

Updated

Stoke City

34.5%29.4%36.1%
Stoke City WinDrawNottingham Forest Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 2

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Swansea City+110
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+220
L 0-1 at Coventry City+265
L 3-2 vs Fulham+325
W 2-0 at Hull City+200
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 2-0 at Blackburn+235
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Barnsley-200
W 1-2 vs Derby County-110
W 1-0 at Millwall+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210+300+295+260+280+260+300+300.3
Nottingham Forest+135+109+100-106+100-106+109+113.8
Draw+210+235+215+225+237+225+237+254.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+220---+255+275+275+300.3
Nottingham Forest+130----110+110+110+113.8
Draw+230---+210+225+225+254.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 40.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +309 to +296
Nottingham Forest ML moved from +100 to -106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Nottingham Forest ML moved from +110 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-138o2¼+100o2¼-106-o2¼-106o2-138o2-124
Underu2¼-118u2+123u2¼-120u2¼-114-u2¼-114u2¼-114u2+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-124
Under-----u2+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.54%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 410.45%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.92%
Exactly 319.37%
Exactly 54.52%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 034.81%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 033.15%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.20%
Exactly 37.43%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.80%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 41.53%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 061.35%
Exactly 129.98%
Exactly 27.32%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 059.98%
Exactly 130.66%
Exactly 27.84%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals13.17%
Wins by 3+ goals3.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals14.66%
Wins by 3+ goals4.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal20.79%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal21.75%
Wins by 2 goals10.19%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.46%11.54%
1.563.54%36.46%
2.536.64%63.36%
3.517.27%82.73%
4.56.82%93.18%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.19%34.81%
1.528.46%71.54%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.85%33.15%
1.530.24%69.76%
2.510.04%89.96%
3.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.20%36.80%
1.526.42%73.58%
2.58.03%91.97%
3.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
Score012345
0
11.54%
12.74%
7.03%
2.59%
0.71%
0.16%
1
12.18%
13.45%
7.42%
2.73%
0.75%
0.17%
2
6.43%
7.10%
3.92%
1.44%
0.40%
0.09%
3
2.26%
2.50%
1.38%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.60%
0.66%
0.36%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.18%
2-06.43%
2-17.10%
3-02.26%
3-12.50%
3-21.38%
4-00.60%
4-10.66%
4-20.36%
4-30.13%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.54%
1-113.45%
2-23.92%
3-30.51%
Nottingham Forest
0-112.74%
0-27.03%
1-27.42%
0-32.59%
1-32.73%
2-31.44%
0-40.71%
1-40.75%
2-40.40%
3-40.14%
0-50.16%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
36.80%
18.81%
4.81%
0.82%
0.10%
1
17.98%
9.19%
2.35%
0.40%
0.05%
2
4.39%
2.25%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.72%
0.37%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-017.98%
2-04.39%
2-12.25%
3-00.72%
3-10.37%
Draw
0-036.80%
1-19.19%
2-20.57%
Nottingham Forest
0-118.81%
0-24.81%
1-22.35%
0-30.82%
1-30.40%
0-40.10%