Stoke City at Nottingham Forest

Updated

Stoke City

34.5%29.4%36.1%
Stoke City WinDrawNottingham Forest Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 2

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Swansea City+110
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+220
L 0-1 at Coventry City+265
L 3-2 vs Fulham+325
W 2-0 at Hull City+200
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 2-0 at Blackburn+235
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Barnsley-200
W 1-2 vs Derby County-110
W 1-0 at Millwall+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210+300+295+260+280+260+300+300.3
Nottingham Forest+135+109+100-106+100-106+109+113.8
Draw+210+235+215+225+237+225+237+254.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+220---+255+275+275+300.3
Nottingham Forest+130----110+110+110+113.8
Draw+230---+210+225+225+254.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 40.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +309 to +296
Nottingham Forest ML moved from +100 to -106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Nottingham Forest ML moved from +110 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-138o2¼+100o2¼-106-o2¼-106o2-138o2-124
Underu2¼-118u2+123u2¼-120u2¼-114-u2¼-114u2¼-114u2+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-124
Under-----u2+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.54%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 410.45%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.92%
Exactly 319.37%
Exactly 54.52%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 034.81%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 033.15%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.20%
Exactly 37.43%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.80%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 41.53%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 061.35%
Exactly 129.98%
Exactly 27.32%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 059.98%
Exactly 130.66%
Exactly 27.84%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals13.17%
Wins by 3+ goals3.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals14.66%
Wins by 3+ goals4.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal20.79%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal21.75%
Wins by 2 goals10.19%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.46%11.54%
1.563.54%36.46%
2.536.64%63.36%
3.517.27%82.73%
4.56.82%93.18%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.19%34.81%
1.528.46%71.54%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.85%33.15%
1.530.24%69.76%
2.510.04%89.96%
3.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.20%36.80%
1.526.42%73.58%
2.58.03%91.97%
3.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
Score012345
0
11.54%
12.74%
7.03%
2.59%
0.71%
0.16%
1
12.18%
13.45%
7.42%
2.73%
0.75%
0.17%
2
6.43%
7.10%
3.92%
1.44%
0.40%
0.09%
3
2.26%
2.50%
1.38%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.60%
0.66%
0.36%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.18%
2-06.43%
2-17.10%
3-02.26%
3-12.50%
3-21.38%
4-00.60%
4-10.66%
4-20.36%
4-30.13%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.54%
1-113.45%
2-23.92%
3-30.51%
Nottingham Forest
0-112.74%
0-27.03%
1-27.42%
0-32.59%
1-32.73%
2-31.44%
0-40.71%
1-40.75%
2-40.40%
3-40.14%
0-50.16%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
36.80%
18.81%
4.81%
0.82%
0.10%
1
17.98%
9.19%
2.35%
0.40%
0.05%
2
4.39%
2.25%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.72%
0.37%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-017.98%
2-04.39%
2-12.25%
3-00.72%
3-10.37%
Draw
0-036.80%
1-19.19%
2-20.57%
Nottingham Forest
0-118.81%
0-24.81%
1-22.35%
0-30.82%
1-30.40%
0-40.10%
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