Derby County at Nottingham Forest

Updated

Derby County

31.9%27.2%40.9%
Derby County WinDrawNottingham Forest Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.36
1Final Score 2

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 2-2 at Reading+190
W 2-1 at Stoke City+460
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+180
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 1-0 at Millwall+215
L 1-0 vs Huddersfield+110
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+340
W 1-2 vs Hull City-110
W 4-1 at Swansea City+275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+310-+360+300+356+340+360+388.6
Nottingham Forest-110--115-110-116-119-115-101.0
Draw+230-+225+210+229+215+229+241.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+320---+300+355+355+388.6
Nottingham Forest+100----125-110-110-101.0
Draw+220---+210+225+225+241.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +290 to +280
Nottingham Forest ML moved from -110 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Nottingham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
Nottingham Forest ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-108o2-121-o2-121o2-107
Under-u2-112u2+101-u2+101u2+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-107
Under-----u2+107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.91%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 412.69%
Exactly 62.47%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.55%
Exactly 320.99%
Exactly 56.13%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 034.64%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.47%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 025.74%
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 310.73%
Exactly 43.64%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.65%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.21%
Exactly 130.05%
Exactly 27.37%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 053.34%
Exactly 133.52%
Exactly 210.53%
Exactly 32.21%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals11.09%
Wins by 3+ goals3.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals20.36%
Wins by 3+ goals7.43%
Wins by 4+ goals2.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Nottingham Forest
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal18.09%
Wins by 2 goals7.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal23.16%
Wins by 2 goals12.93%
Wins by 3 goals5.26%
Wins by 4 goals1.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.09%8.91%
1.569.53%30.47%
2.543.49%56.51%
3.522.49%77.51%
4.59.81%90.19%
5.53.67%96.33%
6.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.36%34.64%
1.528.64%71.36%
2.59.17%90.83%
3.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.26%25.74%
1.539.33%60.67%
2.515.63%84.37%
3.54.90%95.10%
4.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.35%32.65%
1.530.80%69.20%
2.510.35%89.65%
3.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Nottingham Forest
Score012345
0
8.91%
12.10%
8.21%
3.71%
1.26%
0.34%
1
9.45%
12.83%
8.71%
3.94%
1.34%
0.36%
2
5.01%
6.80%
4.61%
2.09%
0.71%
0.19%
3
1.77%
2.40%
1.63%
0.74%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.47%
0.64%
0.43%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-09.45%
2-05.01%
2-16.80%
3-01.77%
3-12.40%
3-21.63%
4-00.47%
4-10.64%
4-20.43%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.91%
1-112.83%
2-24.61%
3-30.74%
Nottingham Forest
0-112.10%
0-28.21%
1-28.71%
0-33.71%
1-33.94%
2-32.09%
0-41.26%
1-41.34%
2-40.71%
3-40.25%
0-50.34%
1-50.36%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
32.65%
20.52%
6.45%
1.35%
0.21%
1
16.03%
10.07%
3.16%
0.66%
0.10%
2
3.93%
2.47%
0.78%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.64%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Derby County
1-016.03%
2-03.93%
2-12.47%
3-00.64%
3-10.40%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.65%
1-110.07%
2-20.78%
Nottingham Forest
0-120.52%
0-26.45%
1-23.16%
0-31.35%
1-30.66%
2-30.16%
0-40.21%
1-40.10%
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