Derby County at Stoke City

Updated

Derby County

30.6%25.8%43.5%
Derby County WinDrawStoke City Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.50
2Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+180
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+415
Stoke City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Middlesbrough+165
W 2-0 at Queens Park Rangers+240
L 1-0 vs Blackburn+120
L 0-1 at Bristol City+120
W 1-0 at Luton Town+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+360-+400+420+420+420+420+491.3
Stoke City-136--136-133-136-133-133-125.2
Draw+275-+240+250+243+250+250+263.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+410---+400+460+460+491.3
Stoke City-140----155-150-150-125.2
Draw+265---+210+265+265+263.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +415 to +400
Stoke City ML moved from -125 to -133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +425 to +400
Stoke City ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-112o2-109-o2-109o2-101
Under-u2-108u2-111-u2-111u2+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-101
Under-----u2+101

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.72%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 413.85%
Exactly 63.03%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.77%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.09%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 034.73%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.42%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 022.23%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 312.60%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.54%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.28%
Exactly 130.01%
Exactly 27.35%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 049.84%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 212.08%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.95%
Wins by 3+ goals2.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals23.78%
Wins by 3+ goals9.40%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal16.62%
Wins by 2 goals7.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal23.64%
Wins by 2 goals14.38%
Wins by 3 goals6.42%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.28%7.72%
1.572.51%27.49%
2.547.19%52.81%
3.525.56%74.44%
4.511.72%88.28%
5.54.63%95.37%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.27%34.73%
1.528.54%71.46%
2.59.12%90.88%
3.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.77%22.23%
1.544.35%55.65%
2.519.21%80.79%
3.56.61%93.39%
4.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.46%30.54%
1.533.23%66.77%
2.511.75%88.25%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Stoke City
Score012345
0
7.72%
11.61%
8.73%
4.38%
1.65%
0.49%
1
8.16%
12.28%
9.23%
4.63%
1.74%
0.52%
2
4.32%
6.49%
4.88%
2.45%
0.92%
0.28%
3
1.52%
2.29%
1.72%
0.86%
0.32%
0.10%
4
0.40%
0.61%
0.46%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Derby County
1-08.16%
2-04.32%
2-16.49%
3-01.52%
3-12.29%
3-21.72%
4-00.40%
4-10.61%
4-20.46%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.72%
1-112.28%
2-24.88%
3-30.86%
Stoke City
0-111.61%
0-28.73%
1-29.23%
0-34.38%
1-34.63%
2-32.45%
0-41.65%
1-41.74%
2-40.92%
3-40.32%
0-50.49%
1-50.52%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Stoke City
Score01234
0
30.54%
21.27%
7.40%
1.72%
0.30%
1
14.96%
10.41%
3.63%
0.84%
0.15%
2
3.66%
2.55%
0.89%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.60%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-014.96%
2-03.66%
2-12.55%
3-00.60%
3-10.42%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-030.54%
1-110.41%
2-20.89%
Stoke City
0-121.27%
0-27.40%
1-23.63%
0-31.72%
1-30.84%
2-30.21%
0-40.30%
1-40.15%
Millwall at Coventry City
Queens Park Rangers at Bristol City