Stoke City at Luton Town

Updated

Stoke City

39.2%25.9%34.9%
Stoke City WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.42Projected Goals 1.25
1Final Score 0

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Millwall+195
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+175
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+260
T 1-1 at Preston North End+190
W 0-2 vs Hull City-130
Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough+130
W 0-1 vs Hull City-120
T 2-2 at Derby County+155
W 2-0 at Millwall+205
T 0-0 vs Huddersfield-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+215-+210+205+206+205+210+226.4
Luton Town+130-+145+147+143+147+147+157.6
Draw+220-+210+215+211+215+215+227.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+210---+190+215+215+226.4
Luton Town+140---+130+145+145+157.6
Draw+220---+190+210+210+227.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +215 to +205
Luton Town ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-140o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2¼+112
Under-u2+115u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.96%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 414.63%
Exactly 63.47%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.54%
Exactly 321.96%
Exactly 57.80%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 024.38%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 311.42%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 028.53%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 39.38%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.11%
Exactly 222.17%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 39.12%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 052.03%
Exactly 134.00%
Exactly 211.11%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 055.95%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 29.43%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals19.13%
Wins by 3+ goals7.10%
Wins by 4+ goals2.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals14.28%
Wins by 3+ goals4.78%
Wins by 4+ goals1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals12.03%
Wins by 3 goals4.98%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal19.09%
Wins by 2 goals9.50%
Wins by 3 goals3.50%
Wins by 4 goals1.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.04%6.96%
1.574.50%25.50%
2.549.79%50.21%
3.527.83%72.17%
4.513.20%86.80%
5.55.40%94.60%
6.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.62%24.38%
1.541.21%58.79%
2.516.92%83.08%
3.55.50%94.50%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.47%28.53%
1.535.69%64.31%
2.513.25%86.75%
3.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.89%29.11%
1.534.97%65.03%
2.512.80%87.20%
3.53.68%96.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
6.96%
8.72%
5.47%
2.29%
0.72%
0.18%
1
9.82%
12.31%
7.72%
3.23%
1.01%
0.25%
2
6.93%
8.69%
5.45%
2.28%
0.71%
0.18%
3
3.26%
4.09%
2.56%
1.07%
0.34%
0.08%
4
1.15%
1.44%
0.90%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.32%
0.41%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-09.82%
2-06.93%
2-18.69%
3-03.26%
3-14.09%
3-22.56%
4-01.15%
4-11.44%
4-20.90%
4-30.38%
5-00.32%
5-10.41%
5-20.26%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.96%
1-112.31%
2-25.45%
3-31.07%
4-40.12%
Luton Town
0-18.72%
0-25.47%
1-27.72%
0-32.29%
1-33.23%
2-32.28%
0-40.72%
1-41.01%
2-40.71%
3-40.34%
0-50.18%
1-50.25%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
29.11%
16.90%
4.91%
0.95%
0.14%
1
19.02%
11.05%
3.21%
0.62%
0.09%
2
6.21%
3.61%
1.05%
0.20%
0.03%
3
1.35%
0.79%
0.23%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.22%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-019.02%
2-06.21%
2-13.61%
3-01.35%
3-10.79%
3-20.23%
4-00.22%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-029.11%
1-111.05%
2-21.05%
Luton Town
0-116.90%
0-24.91%
1-23.21%
0-30.95%
1-30.62%
2-30.20%
0-40.14%