Luton Town
Derby County
Last 5 Games
Money Line Analysis
Implied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied MarginImplied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied Margin| Open Line | Bookmaker | Bovada | BetOnline | GTBets | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town | +185 | - | +145 | +160 | +143 | +160 | +160 | +174.6 |
| Derby County | +150 | - | +200 | +195 | +202 | +195 | +202 | +206.5 |
| Draw | +215 | - | +210 | +205 | +215 | +205 | +215 | +223.0 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town | +175 | - | - | - | +130 | +155 | +155 | +174.6 |
| Derby County | +175 | - | - | - | +180 | +200 | +200 | +206.5 |
| Draw | +210 | - | - | - | +195 | +210 | +210 | +223.0 |
Overall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveOverall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveOver/Under Analysis
| Open Line | Bookmaker | Bovada | BetOnline | GTBets | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | - | o2-122 | o2-120 | - | o2-120 | o2-112 | ||
| Under | - | u2+102 | u2+100 | - | u2+100 | u2+112 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | - | - | - | - | - | o2-112 | ||
| Under | - | - | - | - | - | u2+112 |
Goal Props
Both Teams to Score | |
|---|---|
| Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% |
Total Goals
Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 7.62% |
| Exactly 2 | 25.25% |
| Exactly 4 | 13.95% |
| Exactly 6 | 3.08% |
| Exactly 8 | 0.37% |
| Exactly 1 | 19.61% |
| Exactly 3 | 21.67% |
| Exactly 5 | 7.18% |
| Exactly 7 | 1.13% |
| Exactly 9 | 0.10% |
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 31.70% |
| Exactly 1 | 36.42% |
| Exactly 2 | 20.92% |
| Exactly 3 | 8.01% |
| Exactly 4 | 2.30% |
| Exactly 5 | 0.53% |
| Exactly 6 | 0.10% |
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 24.03% |
| Exactly 1 | 34.26% |
| Exactly 2 | 24.43% |
| Exactly 3 | 11.61% |
| Exactly 4 | 4.14% |
| Exactly 5 | 1.18% |
| Exactly 6 | 0.28% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 30.35% |
| Exactly 2 | 21.57% |
| Exactly 4 | 2.56% |
| Exactly 6 | 0.12% |
| Exactly 1 | 36.19% |
| Exactly 3 | 8.57% |
| Exactly 5 | 0.61% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 58.74% |
| Exactly 1 | 31.25% |
| Exactly 2 | 8.31% |
| Exactly 3 | 1.47% |
| Exactly 4 | 0.20% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 51.67% |
| Exactly 1 | 34.12% |
| Exactly 2 | 11.26% |
| Exactly 3 | 2.48% |
| Exactly 4 | 0.41% |
Alternate Props
Spread
| Luton Town | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 2+ goals | 12.20% |
| Wins by 3+ goals | 3.80% |
| Wins by 4+ goals | 0.95% |
| Wins by 5+ goals | 0.19% |
| Derby County | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 2+ goals | 20.76% |
| Wins by 3+ goals | 7.82% |
| Wins by 4+ goals | 2.37% |
| Wins by 5+ goals | 0.57% |
Exact Winning Margin
Luton Town
Derby County
| Luton Town | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 1 goal | 18.17% |
| Wins by 2 goals | 8.40% |
| Wins by 3 goals | 2.85% |
| Wins by 4 goals | 0.76% |
| Wins by 5 goals | 0.16% |
| Derby County | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 1 goal | 22.55% |
| Wins by 2 goals | 12.94% |
| Wins by 3 goals | 5.46% |
| Wins by 4 goals | 1.80% |
| Wins by 5 goals | 0.48% |
Total Goals Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92.38% | 7.62% |
| 1.5 | 72.78% | 27.22% |
| 2.5 | 47.53% | 52.47% |
| 3.5 | 25.86% | 74.14% |
| 4.5 | 11.91% | 88.09% |
| 5.5 | 4.72% | 95.28% |
| 6.5 | 1.64% | 98.36% |
Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68.30% | 31.70% |
| 1.5 | 31.89% | 68.11% |
| 2.5 | 10.96% | 89.04% |
| 3.5 | 2.95% | 97.05% |
Total Goals Derby County Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75.97% | 24.03% |
| 1.5 | 41.71% | 58.29% |
| 2.5 | 17.28% | 82.72% |
| 3.5 | 5.67% | 94.33% |
| 4.5 | 1.53% | 98.47% |
Total Goals - First Half Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69.65% | 30.35% |
| 1.5 | 33.46% | 66.54% |
| 2.5 | 11.88% | 88.12% |
| 3.5 | 3.31% | 96.69% |
Score Props
Correct Score
| Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.62% | 10.86% | 7.74% | 3.68% | 1.31% | 0.37% |
| 1 | 8.75% | 12.48% | 8.90% | 4.23% | 1.51% | 0.43% |
| 2 | 5.03% | 7.17% | 5.11% | 2.43% | 0.87% | 0.25% |
| 3 | 1.93% | 2.75% | 1.96% | 0.93% | 0.33% | 0.09% |
| 4 | 0.55% | 0.79% | 0.56% | 0.27% | 0.10% | 0.03% |
| 5 | 0.13% | 0.18% | 0.13% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Luton Town | |
|---|---|
| 1-0 | 8.75% |
| 2-0 | 5.03% |
| 2-1 | 7.17% |
| 3-0 | 1.93% |
| 3-1 | 2.75% |
| 3-2 | 1.96% |
| 4-0 | 0.55% |
| 4-1 | 0.79% |
| 4-2 | 0.56% |
| 4-3 | 0.27% |
| 5-0 | 0.13% |
| 5-1 | 0.18% |
| 5-2 | 0.13% |
| Draw | |
|---|---|
| 0-0 | 7.62% |
| 1-1 | 12.48% |
| 2-2 | 5.11% |
| 3-3 | 0.93% |
| Derby County | |
|---|---|
| 0-1 | 10.86% |
| 0-2 | 7.74% |
| 1-2 | 8.90% |
| 0-3 | 3.68% |
| 1-3 | 4.23% |
| 2-3 | 2.43% |
| 0-4 | 1.31% |
| 1-4 | 1.51% |
| 2-4 | 0.87% |
| 3-4 | 0.33% |
| 0-5 | 0.37% |
| 1-5 | 0.43% |
| 2-5 | 0.25% |
Correct Score - First Half
| Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30.35% | 20.04% | 6.62% | 1.46% | 0.24% |
| 1 | 16.15% | 10.66% | 3.52% | 0.77% | 0.13% |
| 2 | 4.30% | 2.84% | 0.94% | 0.21% | 0.03% |
| 3 | 0.76% | 0.50% | 0.17% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
| 4 | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Luton Town | |
|---|---|
| 1-0 | 16.15% |
| 2-0 | 4.30% |
| 2-1 | 2.84% |
| 3-0 | 0.76% |
| 3-1 | 0.50% |
| 3-2 | 0.17% |
| 4-0 | 0.10% |
| Draw | |
|---|---|
| 0-0 | 30.35% |
| 1-1 | 10.66% |
| 2-2 | 0.94% |
| Derby County | |
|---|---|
| 0-1 | 20.04% |
| 0-2 | 6.62% |
| 1-2 | 3.52% |
| 0-3 | 1.46% |
| 1-3 | 0.77% |
| 2-3 | 0.21% |
| 0-4 | 0.24% |
| 1-4 | 0.13% |