Stoke City at Derby County

Updated

Stoke City

37.7%26.6%35.7%
Stoke City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.25
1Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Barnsley-150
L 0-3 at Fulham+380
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest-125
W 3-1 at Swansea City+155
T 0-0 at Birmingham City+160
Derby County
Money Line
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+635
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+135
T 0-0 vs Middlesbrough+190
W 1-0 at Hull City+295
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+137-+117+119+120+119+120+128.3
Derby County+210-+265+285+251+285+285+294.9
Draw+220-+210+199+211+199+211+223.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+150---+110+115+115+128.3
Derby County+200---+225+280+280+294.9
Draw+210---+190+210+210+223.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +119 to +112
Derby County ML moved from +275 to +265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +130 to +115
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-110o2-110-o2-110o2+100
Under-u2-110u2-110-u2-110u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.72%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 413.85%
Exactly 63.03%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.77%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.09%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 026.87%
Exactly 135.31%
Exactly 223.20%
Exactly 310.16%
Exactly 43.34%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 028.72%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 39.29%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.54%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 054.42%
Exactly 133.11%
Exactly 210.07%
Exactly 32.04%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 056.13%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.36%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals17.16%
Wins by 3+ goals6.02%
Wins by 4+ goals1.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals15.10%
Wins by 3+ goals5.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.06%
Wins by 2 goals11.14%
Wins by 3 goals4.33%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal20.00%
Wins by 2 goals10.04%
Wins by 3 goals3.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.28%7.72%
1.572.51%27.49%
2.547.19%52.81%
3.525.56%74.44%
4.511.72%88.28%
5.54.63%95.37%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.13%26.87%
1.537.81%62.19%
2.514.61%85.39%
3.54.45%95.55%
4.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.28%28.72%
1.535.45%64.55%
2.513.10%86.90%
3.53.80%96.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.46%30.54%
1.533.23%66.77%
2.511.75%88.25%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Derby County
Score012345
0
7.72%
9.63%
6.01%
2.50%
0.78%
0.19%
1
10.14%
12.65%
7.89%
3.28%
1.02%
0.26%
2
6.66%
8.31%
5.19%
2.16%
0.67%
0.17%
3
2.92%
3.64%
2.27%
0.94%
0.29%
0.07%
4
0.96%
1.20%
0.75%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.25%
0.31%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-010.14%
2-06.66%
2-18.31%
3-02.92%
3-13.64%
3-22.27%
4-00.96%
4-11.20%
4-20.75%
4-30.31%
5-00.25%
5-10.31%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-07.72%
1-112.65%
2-25.19%
3-30.94%
Derby County
0-19.63%
0-26.01%
1-27.89%
0-32.50%
1-33.28%
2-32.16%
0-40.78%
1-41.02%
2-40.67%
3-40.29%
0-50.19%
1-50.26%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Derby County
Score01234
0
30.54%
17.64%
5.09%
0.98%
0.14%
1
18.58%
10.73%
3.10%
0.60%
0.09%
2
5.65%
3.27%
0.94%
0.18%
0.03%
3
1.15%
0.66%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.17%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-018.58%
2-05.65%
2-13.27%
3-01.15%
3-10.66%
3-20.19%
4-00.17%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-030.54%
1-110.73%
2-20.94%
Derby County
0-117.64%
0-25.09%
1-23.10%
0-30.98%
1-30.60%
2-30.18%
0-40.14%
Barnsley at Stoke City
Blackburn at Barnsley