Derby County at Reading

Updated

Derby County

30.6%25.3%44.1%
Derby County WinDrawReading Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.55
2Final Score 2

Reading

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 2-1 at Stoke City+460
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+180
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
Reading
Money Line
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+725
T 1-1 vs Hull City+155
W 3-2 at Swansea City+375
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+200
W 2-1 at Birmingham City+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+204-+190+180+182+180+190+205.2
Reading+136-+150+170+156+170+170+170.2
Draw+225-+215+212+218+212+218+230.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+250---+190+180+190+205.2
Reading+120---+115+165+165+170.2
Draw+220---+210+210+210+230.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +189 to +182
Reading ML moved from +157 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +205 to +180
No Steam Moves On Reading ML

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-132o2¼+108-o2¼+108o2¼+114
Under-u2+111u2¼-128-u2¼-128u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.19%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 414.39%
Exactly 63.32%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.93%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.57%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 034.03%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.77%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 021.13%
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 313.23%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 51.60%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.56%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 060.71%
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 27.56%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 048.69%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.61%
Exactly 33.03%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%
Reading
Wins by 2+ goals24.66%
Wins by 3+ goals9.99%
Wins by 4+ goals3.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Reading
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal16.33%
Wins by 2 goals7.05%
Wins by 3 goals2.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%
Reading
Wins by 1 goal23.55%
Wins by 2 goals14.68%
Wins by 3 goals6.73%
Wins by 4 goals2.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.81%7.19%
1.573.88%26.12%
2.548.97%51.03%
3.527.11%72.89%
4.512.72%87.28%
5.55.15%94.85%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.97%34.03%
1.529.29%70.71%
2.59.52%90.48%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.87%21.13%
1.546.02%53.98%
2.520.49%79.51%
3.57.27%92.73%
4.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.44%29.56%
1.534.42%65.58%
2.512.46%87.54%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Reading
Score012345
0
7.19%
11.18%
8.69%
4.50%
1.75%
0.54%
1
7.75%
12.05%
9.36%
4.85%
1.89%
0.59%
2
4.18%
6.49%
5.05%
2.62%
1.02%
0.32%
3
1.50%
2.33%
1.81%
0.94%
0.37%
0.11%
4
0.40%
0.63%
0.49%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
Derby County
1-07.75%
2-04.18%
2-16.49%
3-01.50%
3-12.33%
3-21.81%
4-00.40%
4-10.63%
4-20.49%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-07.19%
1-112.05%
2-25.05%
3-30.94%
Reading
0-111.18%
0-28.69%
1-29.36%
0-34.50%
1-34.85%
2-32.62%
0-41.75%
1-41.89%
2-41.02%
3-40.37%
0-50.54%
1-50.59%
2-50.32%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Reading
Score01234
0
29.56%
21.27%
7.66%
1.84%
0.33%
1
14.75%
10.62%
3.82%
0.92%
0.16%
2
3.68%
2.65%
0.95%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.61%
0.44%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Derby County
1-014.75%
2-03.68%
2-12.65%
3-00.61%
3-10.44%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.56%
1-110.62%
2-20.95%
Reading
0-121.27%
0-27.66%
1-23.82%
0-31.84%
1-30.92%
2-30.23%
0-40.33%
1-40.16%
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