Swansea City at Birmingham City

Updated

Swansea City

63.1%21.6%15.3%
Swansea City WinDrawWin
1.90Projected Goals 0.81
2Final Score 2

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Middlesbrough+240
T 1-1 at Stoke City+250
W 2-1 at Rotherham United+120
L 1-3 at Leeds United+800
T 2-2 vs Hull City+185
Birmingham City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+315
L 0-2 at Coventry City+380
L 2-4 at Blackburn+340
W 1-2 vs Sheffield Wednesday+120
L 2-0 vs Hull City+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+230-+205+182-+182+205-
Birmingham City+110-+120+131-+131+131-
Draw+240-+255+240-+240+255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+230---+200+210+210-
Birmingham City+115---+105+125+125-
Draw+255---+225+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 60.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +188 to +182
Birmingham City ML moved from +133 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 60.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +230 to +215
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122-o2½-115o2½-118-o2½-118o2½-115-
Underu2½+102-u2½-105u2½-102-u2½-102u2½-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.68%
Exactly 224.45%
Exactly 414.93%
Exactly 63.65%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.07%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.08%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 014.99%
Exactly 128.45%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.07%
Exactly 48.10%
Exactly 53.07%
Exactly 60.97%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 044.53%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 214.57%
Exactly 33.93%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.56%
Exactly 222.43%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.37%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 041.54%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.03%
Exactly 34.70%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 068.76%
Exactly 125.76%
Exactly 24.82%
Exactly 30.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals37.76%
Wins by 3+ goals18.28%
Wins by 4+ goals7.27%
Wins by 5+ goals2.40%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals4.56%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal25.23%
Wins by 2 goals19.48%
Wins by 3 goals11.01%
Wins by 4 goals4.87%
Wins by 5 goals1.76%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal10.75%
Wins by 2 goals3.54%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.32%6.68%
1.575.25%24.75%
2.550.80%49.20%
3.528.74%71.26%
4.513.81%86.19%
5.55.73%94.27%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.01%14.99%
1.556.56%43.44%
2.529.56%70.44%
3.512.49%87.51%
4.54.39%95.61%
5.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.47%44.53%
1.519.45%80.55%
2.54.87%95.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.44%28.56%
1.535.65%64.35%
2.513.22%86.78%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
6.68%
5.40%
2.18%
0.59%
0.12%
1
12.67%
10.25%
4.15%
1.12%
0.23%
2
12.02%
9.72%
3.93%
1.06%
0.21%
3
7.60%
6.15%
2.49%
0.67%
0.14%
4
3.61%
2.92%
1.18%
0.32%
0.06%
5
1.37%
1.11%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-012.67%
2-012.02%
2-19.72%
3-07.60%
3-16.15%
3-22.49%
4-03.61%
4-12.92%
4-21.18%
4-30.32%
5-01.37%
5-11.11%
5-20.45%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.68%
1-110.25%
2-23.93%
3-30.67%
Birmingham City
0-15.40%
0-22.18%
1-24.15%
0-30.59%
1-31.12%
2-31.06%
0-40.12%
1-40.23%
2-40.21%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
28.56%
10.70%
2.00%
0.25%
1
25.09%
9.40%
1.76%
0.22%
2
11.02%
4.13%
0.77%
0.10%
3
3.23%
1.21%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.71%
0.27%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-025.09%
2-011.02%
2-14.13%
3-03.23%
3-11.21%
3-20.23%
4-00.71%
4-10.27%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-028.56%
1-19.40%
2-20.77%
Birmingham City
0-110.70%
0-22.00%
1-21.76%
0-30.25%
1-30.22%
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