Watford at Stoke City

Updated

Watford

42.8%28.2%28.9%
Watford WinDrawStoke City Win
1.28Projected Goals 0.99
0Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Queens Park Rangers-115
W 0-2 vs Stoke City+145
L 0-1 at Hull City+165
W 0-2 vs Bristol City+100
T 2-2 at Coventry City+250
Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Rotherham United-150
L 0-2 at Watford+180
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-105
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+210
L 2-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+215-+215+191-+191+215-
Stoke City+130-+125+131-+131+131-
Draw+215-+220+230-+230+230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+230---+190+220+220-
Stoke City+120---+110+120+120-
Draw+240---+225+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 40.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +205 to +199
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +230 to +215
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122-o2½+105o2½-101-o2½-101o2½+105-
Underu2¼+102-u2½-125u2½-119-u2½-119u2½-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.35%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 411.41%
Exactly 61.96%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.48%
Exactly 320.13%
Exactly 55.18%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 027.97%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 037.00%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.29%
Exactly 36.06%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.99%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 055.44%
Exactly 132.70%
Exactly 29.64%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 063.11%
Exactly 129.05%
Exactly 26.69%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals19.27%
Wins by 3+ goals6.72%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals10.56%
Wins by 3+ goals2.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals12.56%
Wins by 3 goals4.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal18.34%
Wins by 2 goals7.65%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.65%10.35%
1.566.17%33.83%
2.539.55%60.45%
3.519.42%80.58%
4.58.01%91.99%
5.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.03%27.97%
1.536.39%63.61%
2.513.69%86.31%
3.54.05%95.95%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.00%37.00%
1.526.21%73.79%
2.57.92%92.08%
3.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.01%34.99%
1.528.27%71.73%
2.58.98%91.02%
3.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Stoke City
Score01234
0
10.35%
10.29%
5.12%
1.70%
0.42%
1
13.19%
13.11%
6.52%
2.16%
0.54%
2
8.40%
8.35%
4.15%
1.38%
0.34%
3
3.57%
3.55%
1.76%
0.58%
0.15%
4
1.14%
1.13%
0.56%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.29%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Watford
1-013.19%
2-08.40%
2-18.35%
3-03.57%
3-13.55%
3-21.76%
4-01.14%
4-11.13%
4-20.56%
4-30.19%
5-00.29%
5-10.29%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.35%
1-113.11%
2-24.15%
3-30.58%
Stoke City
0-110.29%
0-25.12%
1-26.52%
0-31.70%
1-32.16%
2-31.38%
0-40.42%
1-40.54%
2-40.34%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Stoke City
Score0123
0
34.99%
16.11%
3.71%
0.57%
1
20.64%
9.50%
2.19%
0.34%
2
6.09%
2.80%
0.64%
0.10%
3
1.20%
0.55%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-020.64%
2-06.09%
2-12.80%
3-01.20%
3-10.55%
3-20.13%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-034.99%
1-19.50%
2-20.64%
Stoke City
0-116.11%
0-23.71%
1-22.19%
0-30.57%
1-30.34%