Rotherham United at Stoke City

Updated 411 days ago

02:00 PM • Aug 5, 2023

Rotherham United

29.4%26.4%44.2%

Rotherham United WinDrawStoke City Win

1.11Projected Goals 1.42

1Final Score 4

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Rotherham United		Money Line
T 0-0	5/08 at Wigan Athletic	+145
W 0-1	5/01 vs Middlesbrough	+290
L 2-1	4/27 vs Cardiff City	+205
L 1-2	4/22 at Bristol City	+275
L 2-0	4/15 vs Luton Town	+320

Stoke City		Money Line
L 0-2	5/08 at Watford	+180
L 1-0	4/29 vs Queens Park Rangers	-105
T 1-1	4/22 at Cardiff City	+210
L 2-1	4/15 vs West Bromwich Albion	+120
T 0-0	4/10 at Birmingham City	+110

Money Line Analysis

:5.0%:4.9%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Rotherham United	+395	-	+420	+355	-	+355	+420	-
Stoke City	-156	-	-150	-146	-	-146	-146	-
Draw	+270	-	+275	+270	-	+270	+275	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Rotherham United	+435	-	-	-	+365	+430	+430	-
Stoke City	-150	-	-	-	-170	-150	-150	-
Draw	+280	-	-	-	+250	+280	+280	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Rotherham United: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Rotherham United: 40.0%

Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Rotherham United: 10.0%

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Rotherham United: 0.0%

Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Rotherham United ML moved from +420 to +40008/05/2023
01:13 PM

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Rotherham United: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Rotherham United: 40.0%

Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Rotherham United: 0.0%

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Rotherham United: 0.0%

Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Rotherham United ML moved from +450 to +43008/05/2023
04:51 AM

Stoke City ML moved from -150 to -16008/05/2023
12:49 AM

Over/Under Analysis

:4.4%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+104	-	o2½-102	o2½-102	-	o2½-102	o2½-102	-
Under	u2½-124	-	u2½-118	u2½-118	-	u2½-118	u2½-118	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	50.9%


No	49.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.96%
Exactly 2	25.49%
Exactly 4	13.61%
Exactly 6	2.91%
Exactly 8	0.33%


Exactly 1	20.14%
Exactly 3	21.51%
Exactly 5	6.89%
Exactly 7	1.05%

Exact Goals Scored - Rotherham United
Exactly 0	32.98%
Exactly 1	36.58%
Exactly 2	20.29%
Exactly 3	7.50%
Exactly 4	2.08%
Exactly 5	0.46%

Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 0	24.12%
Exactly 1	34.30%
Exactly 2	24.39%
Exactly 3	11.56%
Exactly 4	4.11%
Exactly 5	1.17%
Exactly 6	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.97%
Exactly 2	21.27%
Exactly 4	2.44%
Exactly 6	0.11%


Exactly 1	36.30%
Exactly 3	8.31%
Exactly 5	0.57%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rotherham United
Exactly 0	59.84%
Exactly 1	30.73%
Exactly 2	7.89%
Exactly 3	1.35%
Exactly 4	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 0	51.76%
Exactly 1	34.09%
Exactly 2	11.22%
Exactly 3	2.46%
Exactly 4	0.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rotherham United
Wins by 2+ goals	11.43%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.41%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.77%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals	21.20%
Wins by 3+ goals	8.00%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.42%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Rotherham United

Stoke City

Rotherham United
Wins by 1 goal	17.87%
Wins by 2 goals	8.03%
Wins by 3 goals	2.63%
Wins by 4 goals	0.66%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal	22.92%
Wins by 2 goals	13.20%
Wins by 3 goals	5.58%
Wins by 4 goals	1.84%
Wins by 5 goals	0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.04%	7.96%
1.5	71.91%	28.09%
2.5	46.42%	53.58%
3.5	24.91%	75.09%
4.5	11.30%	88.70%
5.5	4.41%	95.59%
6.5	1.51%	98.49%

Total Goals Rotherham United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.02%	32.98%
1.5	30.43%	69.57%
2.5	10.14%	89.86%
3.5	2.64%	97.36%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	75.88%	24.12%
1.5	41.58%	58.42%
2.5	17.19%	82.81%
3.5	5.63%	94.37%
4.5	1.51%	98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.03%	30.97%
1.5	32.72%	67.28%
2.5	11.45%	88.55%
3.5	3.14%	96.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rotherham United

Stoke City

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.96%	11.31%	8.05%	3.81%	1.36%	0.39%
1	8.82%	12.55%	8.92%	4.23%	1.50%	0.43%
2	4.89%	6.96%	4.95%	2.35%	0.83%	0.24%
3	1.81%	2.57%	1.83%	0.87%	0.31%	0.09%
4	0.50%	0.71%	0.51%	0.24%	0.09%	0.02%
5	0.11%	0.16%	0.11%	0.05%	0.02%	0.01%

Rotherham United
1-0	8.82%
2-0	4.89%
2-1	6.96%
3-0	1.81%
3-1	2.57%
3-2	1.83%
4-0	0.50%
4-1	0.71%
4-2	0.51%
4-3	0.24%
5-0	0.11%
5-1	0.16%
5-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	7.96%
1-1	12.55%
2-2	4.95%
3-3	0.87%

Stoke City
0-1	11.31%
0-2	8.05%
1-2	8.92%
0-3	3.81%
1-3	4.23%
2-3	2.35%
0-4	1.36%
1-4	1.50%
2-4	0.83%
3-4	0.31%
0-5	0.39%
1-5	0.43%
2-5	0.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Rotherham United

Stoke City

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	30.97%	20.40%	6.72%	1.47%	0.24%
1	15.91%	10.47%	3.45%	0.76%	0.12%
2	4.08%	2.69%	0.89%	0.19%	0.03%
3	0.70%	0.46%	0.15%	0.03%	0.01%

Rotherham United
1-0	15.91%
2-0	4.08%
2-1	2.69%
3-0	0.70%
3-1	0.46%
3-2	0.15%

Draw
0-0	30.97%
1-1	10.47%
2-2	0.89%

Stoke City
0-1	20.40%
0-2	6.72%
1-2	3.45%
0-3	1.47%
1-3	0.76%
2-3	0.19%
0-4	0.24%
1-4	0.12%

Luton Town at Coventry City

Preston North End at Bristol City

Rotherham United at Stoke City