Derby County at Queens Park Rangers

Updated

Derby County

35.0%27.9%37.1%
Derby County WinDrawQueens Park Rangers Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.21
0Final Score 1

Queens Park Rangers

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fulham+495
L 1-2 at Swansea City+270
W 0-1 vs Preston North End+160
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+195
L 1-3 at Blackburn+420
Queens Park Rangers
Money Line
T 2-2 at Huddersfield+310
L 1-2 at Preston North End+255
L 2-0 vs Fulham+415
L 1-3 at Nottingham Forest+335
W 2-1 at Luton Town+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+215+216+215+210+202+210+216+227.6
Queens Park Rangers+125+140+125+138+133+138+140+146.7
Draw+225+241+230+225+237+225+241+245.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+240----+225+225+227.6
Queens Park Rangers+120----+130+130+146.7
Draw+230----+225+225+245.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Queens Park Rangers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 20.0%
Queens Park Rangers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Queens Park Rangers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +208 to +193
Queens Park Rangers ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Queens Park Rangers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 20.0%
Queens Park Rangers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 10.0%
Queens Park Rangers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +245 to +225
No Steam Moves On Queens Park Rangers ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+108o2¼-122o2¼-122-o2¼-122o2¼-122o2½+119
Underu2½-115u2½-123u2¼+102u2¼+102-u2¼+102u2½-123u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+119
Under-----u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.39%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 412.25%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.22%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 55.79%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 031.35%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.09%
Exactly 38.16%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 029.97%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.76%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 058.44%
Exactly 131.39%
Exactly 28.43%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 057.24%
Exactly 131.94%
Exactly 28.91%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals14.42%
Wins by 3+ goals4.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 2+ goals15.82%
Wins by 3+ goals5.21%
Wins by 4+ goals1.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal20.51%
Wins by 2 goals9.83%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 1 goal21.31%
Wins by 2 goals10.61%
Wins by 3 goals3.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.61%9.39%
1.568.39%31.61%
2.542.12%57.88%
3.521.40%78.60%
4.59.16%90.84%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.65%31.35%
1.532.29%67.71%
2.511.20%88.80%
3.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Queens Park Rangers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.03%29.97%
1.533.92%66.08%
2.512.16%87.84%
3.53.42%96.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.92%70.08%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
Score012345
0
9.39%
11.32%
6.82%
2.74%
0.83%
0.20%
1
10.90%
13.13%
7.91%
3.18%
0.96%
0.23%
2
6.32%
7.62%
4.59%
1.84%
0.56%
0.13%
3
2.44%
2.95%
1.77%
0.71%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.71%
0.85%
0.51%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-010.90%
2-06.32%
2-17.62%
3-02.44%
3-12.95%
3-21.77%
4-00.71%
4-10.85%
4-20.51%
4-30.21%
5-00.16%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.39%
1-113.13%
2-24.59%
3-30.71%
Queens Park Rangers
0-111.32%
0-26.82%
1-27.91%
0-32.74%
1-33.18%
2-31.84%
0-40.83%
1-40.96%
2-40.56%
3-40.21%
0-50.20%
1-50.23%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
Score01234
0
33.45%
18.66%
5.21%
0.97%
0.14%
1
17.97%
10.02%
2.80%
0.52%
0.07%
2
4.83%
2.69%
0.75%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.86%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Derby County
1-017.97%
2-04.83%
2-12.69%
3-00.86%
3-10.48%
3-20.13%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.45%
1-110.02%
2-20.75%
Queens Park Rangers
0-118.66%
0-25.21%
1-22.80%
0-30.97%
1-30.52%
2-30.14%
0-40.14%
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