Derby County at Norwich City

Updated

Derby County

17.7%24.0%58.2%
WinDrawNorwich City Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.68
1Final Score 1

Norwich City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+305
L 2-0 vs Watford+110
L 0-1 at Bristol City+360
L 2-4 at Sheffield Wednesday+300
L 1-0 vs Leeds United+480
Norwich City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Watford+160
W 1-5 vs Swansea City+120
L 0-2 at Leeds United+850
W 1-2 vs Coventry City+120
W 1-0 at Luton Town+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+320-+360+315-+315+360-
Norwich City-125--130-123--123-123-
Draw+260-+250+240-+240+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+365---+345+375+375-
Norwich City-135----165-135-135-
Draw+285---+260+275+275-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +330 to +315
Norwich City ML moved from -130 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +390 to +375
Norwich City ML moved from -135 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2½+100o2¼-118-o2¼-118o2¼-118-
Underu2½-110-u2½-120u2¼-102-u2¼-102u2½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2¼+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.36%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 413.21%
Exactly 62.71%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.75%
Exactly 321.30%
Exactly 56.56%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 044.82%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 214.43%
Exactly 33.86%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 018.65%
Exactly 131.32%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 314.72%
Exactly 46.18%
Exactly 52.08%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.69%
Exactly 220.92%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 38.01%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 068.97%
Exactly 125.62%
Exactly 24.76%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 045.95%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 213.89%
Exactly 33.60%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals32.34%
Wins by 3+ goals14.28%
Wins by 4+ goals5.14%
Wins by 5+ goals1.53%
Wins by 6+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Norwich City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal12.36%
Wins by 2 goals4.12%
Wins by 3 goals1.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal25.88%
Wins by 2 goals18.06%
Wins by 3 goals9.14%
Wins by 4 goals3.61%
Wins by 5 goals1.16%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.64%8.36%
1.570.89%29.11%
2.545.15%54.85%
3.523.85%76.15%
4.510.64%89.36%
5.54.08%95.92%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.18%44.82%
1.519.21%80.79%
2.54.78%95.22%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.35%18.65%
1.550.03%49.97%
2.523.73%76.27%
3.59.01%90.99%
4.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.31%31.69%
1.531.89%68.11%
2.510.97%89.03%
3.52.95%97.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Norwich City
Score012345
0
8.36%
14.04%
11.79%
6.60%
2.77%
0.93%
1
6.71%
11.26%
9.46%
5.29%
2.22%
0.75%
2
2.69%
4.52%
3.80%
2.12%
0.89%
0.30%
3
0.72%
1.21%
1.02%
0.57%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.14%
0.24%
0.20%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.71%
2-02.69%
2-14.52%
3-00.72%
3-11.21%
3-21.02%
4-00.14%
4-10.24%
4-20.20%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-08.36%
1-111.26%
2-23.80%
3-30.57%
Norwich City
0-114.04%
0-211.79%
1-29.46%
0-36.60%
1-35.29%
2-32.12%
0-42.77%
1-42.22%
2-40.89%
3-40.24%
0-50.93%
1-50.75%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Norwich City
Score01234
0
31.69%
24.64%
9.58%
2.48%
0.48%
1
11.77%
9.16%
3.56%
0.92%
0.18%
2
2.19%
1.70%
0.66%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.27%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-011.77%
2-02.19%
2-11.70%
3-00.27%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-031.69%
1-19.16%
2-20.66%
Norwich City
0-124.64%
0-29.58%
1-23.56%
0-32.48%
1-30.92%
2-30.17%
0-40.48%
1-40.18%