Leeds United at Derby County

Updated

Leeds United

64.1%21.0%14.9%
Leeds United WinDrawWin
1.96Projected Goals 0.81

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Preston North End-155
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough-145
W 0-2 vs Derby County-280
L 0-1 at Blackburn-145
W 0-3 vs Luton Town-225
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Luton Town+250
T 0-0 at Burnley+450
L 0-2 at Leeds United+785
L 2-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+165
L 2-1 vs Swansea City+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United-195--195----195-
Derby County+500-+500---+500-
Draw+310-+310---+310-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United------
Derby County------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2½-110---o2½-110-
Underu2½-110-u2½-110---u2½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.27%
Exactly 224.04%
Exactly 415.37%
Exactly 63.93%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.36%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 58.52%
Exactly 71.56%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 014.15%
Exactly 127.67%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.63%
Exactly 48.62%
Exactly 53.37%
Exactly 61.10%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 044.27%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 214.70%
Exactly 33.99%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.73%
Exactly 222.81%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 39.75%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 040.45%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.57%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 068.57%
Exactly 125.87%
Exactly 24.88%
Exactly 30.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals39.07%
Wins by 3+ goals19.32%
Wins by 4+ goals7.87%
Wins by 5+ goals2.67%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals4.43%
Wins by 3+ goals1.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal24.97%
Wins by 2 goals19.75%
Wins by 3 goals11.46%
Wins by 4 goals5.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.93%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal10.41%
Wins by 2 goals3.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.73%6.27%
1.576.38%23.62%
2.552.34%47.66%
3.530.14%69.86%
4.514.77%85.23%
5.56.25%93.75%
6.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.85%14.15%
1.558.17%41.83%
2.531.12%68.88%
3.513.49%86.51%
4.54.87%95.13%
5.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.73%44.27%
1.519.66%80.34%
2.54.96%95.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.27%27.73%
1.536.70%63.30%
2.513.89%86.11%
3.54.14%95.86%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Derby County
Score01234
0
6.27%
5.11%
2.08%
0.57%
0.12%
1
12.25%
9.98%
4.07%
1.11%
0.23%
2
11.98%
9.76%
3.98%
1.08%
0.22%
3
7.80%
6.36%
2.59%
0.70%
0.14%
4
3.81%
3.11%
1.27%
0.34%
0.07%
5
1.49%
1.22%
0.50%
0.13%
0.03%
Leeds United
1-012.25%
2-011.98%
2-19.76%
3-07.80%
3-16.36%
3-22.59%
4-03.81%
4-13.11%
4-21.27%
4-30.34%
5-01.49%
5-11.22%
5-20.50%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.27%
1-19.98%
2-23.98%
3-30.70%
Derby County
0-15.11%
0-22.08%
1-24.07%
0-30.57%
1-31.11%
2-31.08%
0-40.12%
1-40.23%
2-40.22%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Derby County
Score0123
0
27.73%
10.46%
1.97%
0.25%
1
25.10%
9.47%
1.79%
0.22%
2
11.36%
4.29%
0.81%
0.10%
3
3.43%
1.29%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.78%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-025.10%
2-011.36%
2-14.29%
3-03.43%
3-11.29%
3-20.24%
4-00.78%
4-10.29%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-027.73%
1-19.47%
2-20.81%
Derby County
0-110.46%
0-21.97%
1-21.79%
0-30.25%
1-30.22%
2-30.10%