Leeds United at Stoke City

Updated

Leeds United

59.3%22.5%18.2%
Leeds United WinDrawWin
1.84Projected Goals 0.91

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Preston North End-155
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough-145
W 0-2 vs Derby County-280
L 0-1 at Blackburn-145
W 0-3 vs Luton Town-225
Stoke City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+345
T 2-2 vs Cardiff City+110
L 1-2 at Luton Town+280
L 2-0 vs Burnley+225
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United-155--195-204--204-195-
Stoke City+380-+500+470-+470+500-
Draw+290-+330+320-+320+330-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United-195----240-195-195-
Stoke City+535---+475+535+535-
Draw+330---+300+330+330-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Leeds United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from -192 to -200
Stoke City ML moved from +470 to +460

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Leeds United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from -215 to -235
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102-o2½-120o2½-125-o2½-125o2½-120-
Underu2½-122-u2½+100u2½+105-u2½+105u2½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+102 to o2½-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.39%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 415.24%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.57%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.38%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 015.88%
Exactly 129.22%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 316.49%
Exactly 47.59%
Exactly 52.79%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 040.24%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.67%
Exactly 35.06%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.98%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 042.65%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.48%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 065.61%
Exactly 127.65%
Exactly 25.83%
Exactly 30.82%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals34.43%
Wins by 3+ goals16.15%
Wins by 4+ goals6.22%
Wins by 5+ goals1.99%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals5.94%
Wins by 3+ goals1.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal24.77%
Wins by 2 goals18.28%
Wins by 3 goals9.93%
Wins by 4 goals4.23%
Wins by 5 goals1.48%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal12.25%
Wins by 2 goals4.47%
Wins by 3 goals1.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.61%6.39%
1.576.04%23.96%
2.551.87%48.13%
3.529.71%70.29%
4.514.47%85.53%
5.56.09%93.91%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.12%15.88%
1.554.91%45.09%
2.528.02%71.98%
3.511.53%88.47%
4.53.94%96.06%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.76%40.24%
1.523.13%76.87%
2.56.46%93.54%
3.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.02%27.98%
1.536.38%63.62%
2.513.68%86.32%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Stoke City
Score01234
0
6.39%
5.82%
2.65%
0.80%
0.18%
1
11.76%
10.70%
4.87%
1.48%
0.34%
2
10.82%
9.85%
4.48%
1.36%
0.31%
3
6.64%
6.04%
2.75%
0.83%
0.19%
4
3.05%
2.78%
1.27%
0.38%
0.09%
5
1.12%
1.02%
0.47%
0.14%
0.03%
Leeds United
1-011.76%
2-010.82%
2-19.85%
3-06.64%
3-16.04%
3-22.75%
4-03.05%
4-12.78%
4-21.27%
4-30.38%
5-01.12%
5-11.02%
5-20.47%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.39%
1-110.70%
2-24.48%
3-30.83%
Stoke City
0-15.82%
0-22.65%
1-24.87%
0-30.80%
1-31.48%
2-31.36%
0-40.18%
1-40.34%
2-40.31%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Stoke City
Score0123
0
27.98%
11.79%
2.49%
0.35%
1
23.84%
10.05%
2.12%
0.30%
2
10.16%
4.28%
0.90%
0.13%
3
2.89%
1.22%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.61%
0.26%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-023.84%
2-010.16%
2-14.28%
3-02.89%
3-11.22%
3-20.26%
4-00.61%
4-10.26%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-027.98%
1-110.05%
2-20.90%
Stoke City
0-111.79%
0-22.49%
1-22.12%
0-30.35%
1-30.30%
2-30.13%
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