Cardiff City at Stoke City

Updated

Cardiff City

34.2%27.6%38.2%
Cardiff City WinDrawStoke City Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.25
2Final Score 2

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Preston North End+140
T 2-2 at Coventry City+355
L 2-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+285
L 3-1 vs Blackburn+130
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Luton Town+280
L 2-0 vs Burnley+225
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+155
T 1-1 vs Millwall+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+200-+265+265-+265+265-
Stoke City+130-+100-109--109+100-
Draw+225-+235+240-+240+240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+220---+195+255+255-
Stoke City+125---+110+110+110-
Draw+240---+220+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +230 to +220
Stoke City ML moved from +100 to -109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +210 to +195
Stoke City ML moved from +125 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118-o2½-112o2½-108-o2½-108o2½-108-
Underu2¼-102-u2½-108u2½-112-u2½-112u2½-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-118 to o2½-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.99%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 412.62%
Exactly 62.44%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.66%
Exactly 320.95%
Exactly 56.08%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 031.26%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 028.75%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.78%
Exactly 220.39%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.58%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 058.37%
Exactly 131.42%
Exactly 28.46%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 056.15%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 29.35%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals14.07%
Wins by 3+ goals4.48%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals16.67%
Wins by 3+ goals5.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal20.09%
Wins by 2 goals9.60%
Wins by 3 goals3.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.54%
Wins by 2 goals11.03%
Wins by 3 goals4.12%
Wins by 4 goals1.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.01%8.99%
1.569.36%30.64%
2.543.27%56.73%
3.522.32%77.68%
4.59.70%90.30%
5.53.62%96.38%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.74%31.26%
1.532.39%67.61%
2.511.25%88.75%
3.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.25%28.75%
1.535.41%64.59%
2.513.07%86.93%
3.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.22%32.78%
1.530.66%69.34%
2.510.27%89.73%
3.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Stoke City
Score012345
0
8.99%
11.20%
6.98%
2.90%
0.90%
0.23%
1
10.45%
13.03%
8.12%
3.37%
1.05%
0.26%
2
6.08%
7.57%
4.72%
1.96%
0.61%
0.15%
3
2.35%
2.94%
1.83%
0.76%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.68%
0.85%
0.53%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-010.45%
2-06.08%
2-17.57%
3-02.35%
3-12.94%
3-21.83%
4-00.68%
4-10.85%
4-20.53%
4-30.22%
5-00.16%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-08.99%
1-113.03%
2-24.72%
3-30.76%
Stoke City
0-111.20%
0-26.98%
1-28.12%
0-32.90%
1-33.37%
2-31.96%
0-40.90%
1-41.05%
2-40.61%
3-40.24%
0-50.23%
1-50.26%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
32.78%
18.92%
5.46%
1.05%
0.15%
1
17.64%
10.18%
2.94%
0.57%
0.08%
2
4.75%
2.74%
0.79%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.85%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-017.64%
2-04.75%
2-12.74%
3-00.85%
3-10.49%
3-20.14%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-032.78%
1-110.18%
2-20.79%
Stoke City
0-118.92%
0-25.46%
1-22.94%
0-31.05%
1-30.57%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%
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