Burnley at Stoke City

Updated

Burnley

55.1%24.7%20.2%
Burnley WinDrawStoke City Win
1.63Projected Goals 0.88
2Final Score 0

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+120
W 1-0 at Bristol City+170
W 0-1 vs Swansea City-105
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+220
L 0-1 at Millwall+185
Stoke City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+155
T 1-1 vs Millwall+165
W 2-0 at Blackburn+240
W 1-2 vs Derby County+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+135-+130+133-+133+133-
Stoke City+185-+215+195-+195+215-
Draw+240-+210+220-+220+220-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+115---+115+130+130-
Stoke City+195---+195+225+225-
Draw+210---+210+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 40.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +135 to +125
Stoke City ML moved from +215 to +195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +135 to +125
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2¼+100o2¼+103-o2¼+103o2¼+103-
Underu2¼-115-u2¼-120u2¼-123-u2¼-123u2¼-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.10%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 413.46%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.36%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 56.77%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 019.53%
Exactly 131.90%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 314.18%
Exactly 45.79%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 041.48%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.06%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.24%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 046.95%
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 213.42%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 066.54%
Exactly 127.11%
Exactly 25.52%
Exactly 30.75%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals29.81%
Wins by 3+ goals12.80%
Wins by 4+ goals4.48%
Wins by 5+ goals1.30%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals6.53%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal25.31%
Wins by 2 goals17.01%
Wins by 3 goals8.32%
Wins by 4 goals3.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal13.63%
Wins by 2 goals4.93%
Wins by 3 goals1.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.90%8.10%
1.571.54%28.46%
2.545.95%54.05%
3.524.52%75.48%
4.511.06%88.94%
5.54.29%95.71%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.47%19.53%
1.548.57%51.43%
2.522.52%77.48%
3.58.34%91.66%
4.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.52%41.48%
1.522.01%77.99%
2.55.96%94.04%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.76%31.24%
1.532.41%67.59%
2.511.27%88.73%
3.53.07%96.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Stoke City
Score01234
0
8.10%
7.13%
3.14%
0.92%
0.20%
1
13.23%
11.64%
5.12%
1.50%
0.33%
2
10.81%
9.51%
4.18%
1.23%
0.27%
3
5.88%
5.18%
2.28%
0.67%
0.15%
4
2.40%
2.11%
0.93%
0.27%
0.06%
5
0.78%
0.69%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
Burnley
1-013.23%
2-010.81%
2-19.51%
3-05.88%
3-15.18%
3-22.28%
4-02.40%
4-12.11%
4-20.93%
4-30.27%
5-00.78%
5-10.69%
5-20.30%
Draw
0-08.10%
1-111.64%
2-24.18%
3-30.67%
Stoke City
0-17.13%
0-23.14%
1-25.12%
0-30.92%
1-31.50%
2-31.23%
0-40.20%
1-40.33%
2-40.27%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Stoke City
Score0123
0
31.24%
12.73%
2.59%
0.35%
1
23.62%
9.62%
1.96%
0.27%
2
8.93%
3.64%
0.74%
0.10%
3
2.25%
0.92%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.43%
0.17%
0.04%
0.00%
Burnley
1-023.62%
2-08.93%
2-13.64%
3-02.25%
3-10.92%
3-20.19%
4-00.43%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-031.24%
1-19.62%
2-20.74%
Stoke City
0-112.73%
0-22.59%
1-21.96%
0-30.35%
1-30.27%
2-30.10%
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